The first is Iran Clearly the fact that Iran is providing 25 million barrels of

The first is iran clearly the fact that iran is

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three examples. The first is Iran . Clearly, the fact that Iran is providing 2.5 million barrels of oil per day to world oil markets means that that dependence has to be taken into account as we consider the other policy-important policy- foreign policy-objectives we have with respect to Iran, principally and foremost, to keep them from acquiring a nuclear weapon, and secondly, to stop them from fiddling around in Iraq . So the fact that we and our allies and our closest partners are dependent on oil imports means that we must compromise our foreign policy objectives , and that is a very bad thing for our country. NU 4 LIFE 57 57
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OIL DEPENDENCY AMP Tommy, Fan, Megan Northwestern 08 AT: Iran Sanctions Iran is becoming energy independent; means sanctions will become ineffective within 5 years Luft 08 (Gal, Executive director of the Institute for the Analysis of Global Security, Washington Post, “Iran and Brazil Can Do It. So Can We.”, July 6, LexisNexis) The first country, surprisingly enough, is Iran . The Islamic republic has lots of crude but little capacity to refine it, leaving Tehran heavily dependent on gasoline imports. The country's blustery president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, is fully aware that this is Iran's Achilles' heel and worries that a comprehensive gasoline embargo could cause enough social unrest to undermine his regime . So Ahmadinejad has launched an energy-independence program designed to shift Iran's transportation system from gasoline to natural gas, which Iran has plenty of. "If we can change our automobiles' fuel from gasoline to [natural] gas during the next three-four years," he said last July, "we won't need gasoline anymore." His plan includes a mandate for domestic automakers to make "dual-fuel" cars that can run on both gasoline and natural gas, a crash program to convert used vehicles to run on natural gas and a program to convert Iranian gas stations to serve both kinds of fuel. According to the International Association of Natural Gas Vehicles, more than 100 conversion centers have been built throughout the country: Iranians can drive in with their gasoline-only cars, pay a subsidized fee equivalent to $50 and collect their newly dual-fuelled cars several hours later. Ahmadinejad's plan, which has been largely ignored by the West, means that within five years or so, Iran could be virtually immune to international sanctions. NU 4 LIFE 58 58
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OIL DEPENDENCY AMP Tommy, Fan, Megan Northwestern 08 AT: US would win against Iran Even if the US could defeat Iran, there would still be oil implications Ariel Cohen 2007— Ph.D. Senior Research Fellow, Russian and Eurasian Studies and International Energy Security, Heritage Foundation [“Foreign Policy and National Security Implications of Oil Dependency”, March 22, 2007, Lexis] U.S. military forces in the Persian Gulf could quickly establish superiority over Iran's conventional ground, air, and naval forces in any crisis, but Iranian mobile missiles, mines, commando attacks, unconventional warfare, and terrorist sabotage would pose more persistent threats that would be much harder to neutralize. The U
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