Not be surprising to see either obama or romney make

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not be surprising to see either Obama or Romney make this a campaign issue risks/opportunities potential trouble spots miscommunication/miscalculation the US has the biggest baddest navy, and China is building more and more interactions at sea sino-japanese tension crisis between china and japan sinkako islands fishing boat captain detained pending negotiations natural gas in China sea disputed territory japan/china conflict should the US abandon Taiwan? we don’t gain anything, hurts relationship with China sacrificing Taiwan to China what has changed is eagerness w/ which countries are worried about being coerced by china and turning to the United States as means for protection pivot – rebalancing of American assets towards Asia, fundamentally about China’s and America’s goal to reassure it’s allies that it’s not going anywhere US wants to have strong economic/political relationship with China
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cooperate on one hand, hedge on the other side how can we move forward? don’t panic China’s first reassuring containment school never really went away more economic pressure w/ idea that this is necessary to prevent Chinese from becoming more assertive transnational challenges basis of America’s relationship with China should really be about transnational challenges issues like climate change, managing the global economy we must have some mutual issues building blocks for cooperation responding to China’s rise is the biggest issue facing the US from a foreign policy perspective transcends all the issues we’ve talked about is Asia now the center of US foreign policy? future center of US foreign policy – area of strategic focus we’ve always been more focused on Asia than Europe we have an Asian/Atlantic coastline bush administrations had a lot of success here
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concerns at outset of Obama administration – what will Obamas policy look like? politically, democratic policies make east Asian leaders very nervous anti-outsourcing would they downplay the tradition of American allies? concern was misplaced more continuity than anything else looking at advisors – people involved in Asia policy during Clinton administration that stayed in touch Taiwan straits crisis Clinton demonstration of American power helped Clinton “find himself” 2010 – series of actions by china increased Chinese assertiveness helped solidify American attentiveness back to Asia H. Clinton comes and reaffirms American commitment to Freedom of the seas October 11 th , 2011 Clinton says Asian pacific is “key driver” of American politics Document released by defense department that lays out priorities (2012) 1 st priority – tracking down/keeping pressure on Alkaida 2 nd priority – East Asia ***the long awaited shift to Asia is occurring – pivot to Asia***
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Clinton says pivot is a wrong word pivot implies that US was not in Asia before pivot implies that the US does not care about the rest of the world “rebalance toward Asian-Pacific Region” What are the implications of rebalance?
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