Date 081405 time 1726 sampleadjusted 1981 2002

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Date: 08/14/05 Time: 17:26 Sample(adjusted): 1981 2002 Included observations: 22 after adjusting endpoints Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. Y-Y(-1) 0.126934 0.093666 1.355178 0.1942 IR 1.130353 1.302957 0.867529 0.3985 CRE 0.224951 0.102888 2.186373 0.0440 IPUB 1.170036 0.155312 7.533440 0.0000 DB -0.337992 0.260877 -1.295600 0.2135 C -64.28247 39.51782 -1.626670 0.1233 R-squared 0.957260 Mean dependent var 198.5582 Adjusted R-squared 0.943904 S.D. dependentvar 121.3828 S.E. of regression 28.74894 Akaike info criterion 9.782080 Sum squared resid 13224.03 Schwarz criterion 10.07964 Log likelihood -101.6029 F-statistic 71.67204 Durbin-Watson stat 1.389035 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000 Dependent Variable: lIJ1 Method: Least Squares Date: 08/14/05 Time: 17:33 Sample: 1980 2002 Included observations: 23 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. y 0.381062 0.035901 10.61422 0.0000 PM -41.05569 455.2011 -0.090192 0.9290 C -26.59691 76.19075 -0.349083 0.7307 R-squared 0.923661 Mean dependent var 666.8086 Adjusted R-squared 0.916027 S.D. dependent var 340.2658 S.E. of regression 98.60246 Akaike info criterion 12.14118 Sum squared resid 194448.9 Schwarz criterion . 12.28929 Log likelihood -136.6235 F-statistic 120.9947 Durbin-Watson stat 0.360089 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000 79
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