Q3 what is the probability that you will get two

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Q3: What is the probability that you will get two heads on flips three and four, conditional on getting two heads on flips one and two?
Recap of the Method Used in Example Problem: 1. Define success of an individual trial. 2. Use the binomial equation to calculate the cumulative probability of each part of the system. 3. Make a table with each part’s p and its percentage contribution to the whole. The percentages must add to 1. 4. Calculate the p (Total) using the law of total probability. 5. Use the total probability form of Bayes’ theorem to calculate the conditional probability for the item of interest. 6. Interpret. Homework Problems: Using the example problem as reference, complete the following five problems. Turn in the work and results for each of the five problems. (Note: 4 includes a,b,c and 5 includes a,b,c,d). Note that each problem provides a hint which should guide you through the problem along with the Example Problem as a reference. Post any questions you have to the General Discussion area. Problem 1: You are taking a 10 question multiple choice test. If each question has four choices and you guess on each question, what is the probability of getting one question correct? [Hint: This is a binomial in the form of 10 choose 1 with p=.25.]

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