The use of different weather data sets yields comparable results for seasonal

The use of different weather data sets yields

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agricultural area are the crucial channel. The use of different weather data sets yields comparable results for seasonal averages (table S3). Including data on political conflicts as controls (table S4) produces important predictors of asylum applications, but the estimated relationship with temperature only slightly weakens, suggesting that they either pick up other forms of aggression or persecution because our conflict measures are limited to certain continents and actors or that the conflict data has measurement error. In summary, we link annual asylum applications received by the EU member states to average temperature over the maize growing area and season in the source country and find a nonlinear relationship, especially for those applications filed into the richer EU member states . Moderate temperatures around 20°C minimize asylum applications. Both colder and hotter temperatures increase migration flows. Extrapolating those results, an increase in temperatures in source countries is predicted to lead to an increase in asylum applications to the EU as well, following a highly nonlinear response function . Our findings support the assessment that climate change, especially continued warming, will add another “threat multiplier” that induces people to seek refuge abroad. 2. Europe overreacts and deports en masse – causes Middle East nuclear war Kegl and Virtue ‘15 [Rob and Agnes. “Migrant crisis and Euro tensions threaten to trigger catastrophic conflict claim experts” 9/23/15 - fears-migrant-crisis-could-lead-to-catastrophic-scenario //GBS-JV] RISING tensions between central and east European countries over the escalating migrant crisis could be the spark for a catastrophic world war , experts warned today. Both the Hungarian and Italian prime ministers have spoken of huge dangers of unchecked floods of immigrants from Africa and the Middle East which have set previously peacable EU nations against each other . The
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scenario - especially the one currently being played out in Serbia and Hungary - is hauntingly similar to that which triggered the First World War . The problem has manifesting itself in central Europe where Hungary is besieged by growing numbers of refugees passing through from Serbia and Croatia , forcing its government to build fences to stem the influx. Hungarian prime minister Viktor Orbán warned European life and its established laws were under threat from huge numbers of people heading through the continent from war-torn states in the Middle East. In a defence against criticism of the aggressive stance against refugees taken by the country , he said yesterday: "Our borders are in danger. Our way of life where we respect the law is in danger. "The whole of Hungary and Europe is in danger. " The migrants are blitzing us ." Hungary and Serbia have constantly been at each others' throats over the issue , with Budapest urging its non-EU neighbours to do more to help tackle the growing neighbours migrants. It is now sending troops armed with rubber bullets
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