Upper 95 Lower 950 Intercept 486553881 062822583 774488823 98581

Upper 95 lower 950 intercept 486553881 062822583

This preview shows page 25 - 31 out of 31 pages.

Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Intercept 4.86553881 0.62822583 7.74488823 7.04826E-10 3.60098581 6.13009181 3.60098581 ADV 1.36731793 0.07287971 18.7612974 3.46866E-23 1.22061868 1.51401717 1.22061868 Demand= 4.86+1.36(ADV) RESIDUAL OUTPUT MAD= 0.62022616 Observation d Deseasonaliz Residuals ABS Res 1 12.1123238 1.69373679 1.69373679 2 14.0949348 0.41242186 0.41242186 3 14.7785938 -0.58946015 0.58946015 4 14.8469597 -0.61110696 0.61110696 5 14.7102279 -0.57708694 0.57708694 6 13.7531053 0.33950358 0.33950358 7 14.0949348 -0.69582107 0.69582107 8 14.2863593 -1.92272296 1.92272296 9 12.7959828 -0.52433776 0.52433776 10 12.3857874 -0.17361724 0.17361724 11 13.7531053 -1.31706929 1.31706929 12 13.4112758 -0.18623859 0.18623859 13 14.4367643 -0.01252194 0.01252194 14 14.3000325 0.20732418 0.20732418 15 14.1633007 1.28065421 1.28065421 16 14.1633007 0.83689315 0.83689315 17 14.5734961 0.41332457 0.41332457 18 14.4367643 0.23499288 0.23499288 19 14.7102279 0.72788149 0.72788149 20 15.1204233 0.02503122 0.02503122 21 15.5306186 0.4758748 0.4758748
Image of page 25
22 16.0775458 -0.14862819 0.14862819 23 16.2142776 -1.16562892 1.16562892 24 16.3510094 0.20477791 0.20477791 25 17.0346684 0.89260429 0.89260429 26 17.3081319 0.40084829 0.40084829 27 17.5815955 -0.59324511 0.59324511 28 17.7183273 -0.13848229 0.13848229 29 17.5815955 0.0611174 0.0611174 30 17.7183273 -0.92302634 0.92302634 31 17.8550591 0.01042595 0.01042595 32 17.9917909 0.14154235 0.14154235 33 18.1285227 -0.30796001 0.30796001 34 18.4019863 -1.30494804 1.30494804 35 18.2652545 -0.18597517 0.18597517 36 18.4019863 -1.94416221 1.94416221 37 18.6754499 0.90030762 0.90030762 38 18.8121817 0.19745813 0.19745813 39 19.222377 -0.11048282 0.11048282 40 18.9489134 -0.03147151 0.03147151 41 18.4019863 0.56867278 0.56867278 42 19.222377 0.95128908 0.95128908 43 19.3591088 -0.32848344 0.32848344 44 19.222377 0.86853196 0.86853196 45 20.7264268 -1.09179481 1.09179481 46 18.6754499 1.81975746 1.81975746 47 18.9489134 1.22045596 1.22045596 48 19.4958406 -0.00115616 0.00115616
Image of page 26
Upper 95.0% 6.13009181 1.51401717
Image of page 27
Month/Yr.PERIOD PRICE AIP DIFF ADV DEMAND Jan. 2016 1 6.1 5.9 -0.2 5.3 13.4 2 6.3 6.6 0.3 6.8 14.5 3 6.0 6.4 0.4 7.3 14.7 4 6.1 6.1 0.0 7.3 14.9 5 5.9 6.4 0.5 7.2 14.9 6 5.9 6.3 0.4 6.5 14.6 7 5.9 6.0 0.1 6.8 13.8 8 6.8 6.0 -0.8 6.9 12.0 9 6.8 5.8 -1.0 5.8 11.5 10 6.4 6.3 -0.1 5.5 11.5 11 6.5 6.3 -0.2 6.5 11.9 12 6.3 6.2 -0.1 6.3 13.5 Jan. 2017 13 6.1 6.5 0.4 7.0 14.0 14 6.1 6.6 0.5 6.9 14.5 15 6.0 6.3 0.3 6.8 16.0 16 6.4 6.7 0.3 6.8 15.7 17 6.2 6.5 0.3 7.1 15.8 18 6.0 6.8 0.8 7.0 15.2 19 6.1 6.6 0.5 7.2 15.9 20 6.4 6.1 -0.3 7.5 14.7 21 6.0 6.1 0.1 7.8 15.0 22 6.2 6.2 0.0 8.2 15.0 23 6.1 6.0 -0.1 8.3 14.4 24 6.0 6.2 0.2 8.4 16.9 Jan. 2018 25 6.1 6.7 0.6 8.9 17.4 26 5.9 6.9 1.0 9.1 17.7 27 6.0 5.8 -0.2 9.3 17.6 28 6.3 5.8 -0.5 9.4 18.4 29 6.0 6.0 0.0 9.3 18.6 30 5.7 6.7 1.0 9.4 17.4 31 5.6 6.4 0.8 9.5 18.4 32 6.2 7.0 0.8 9.6 17.6 33 6.4 7.2 0.8 9.7 16.7 34 6.5 5.9 -0.6 9.9 16.1 35 6.2 6.0 -0.2 9.8 17.3
Image of page 28
36 6.7 6.2 -0.5 9.9 16.8 Jan. 2019 37 6.9 6.0 -0.9 10.1 19.0 38 6.9 6.3 -0.6 10.2 19.0 39 6.7 6.5 -0.2 10.5 19.8 40 7.0 6.0 -1.0 10.3 19.8 41 7.1 6.1 -1.0 9.9 20.0 42 7.2 6.3 -0.9 10.5 20.9 43 7.2 6.4 -0.8 10.6 19.6 44 7.3 6.5 -0.8 10.5 19.5 45 7.2 6.0 -1.2 11.6 18.4 46 7.1 6.2 -0.9 10.1 19.3 47 6.9 5.9 -1.0 10.3 19.3 48 7.2 6.0 -1.2 10.7 19.9
Image of page 29
Seasonal Index Deseasonalized Data 0.970588235294118 13.8060606060606 0.999492900608519 14.5073566717402 1.03600405679513 14.1891336270191 1.04665314401623 14.2358527131783 1.05425963488844 14.1331409331409 1.03600405679513 14.0926089084679 1.02991886409736 13.3991137370753 0.970588235294118 12.3636363636364 0.93711967545639 12.271645021645 0.941683569979716 12.2121701669359 0.956896551724138 12.436036036036 1.02079107505071 13.2250372578241 0.97058824 14.4242423543067 0.9994929 14.5073566805727 1.03600406 15.4439549204083 1.04665314 15.0001938560085 1.05425963 14.9868206563121 1.03600406 14.6717571743879 1.02991886 15.4381093671787 0.97058824 15.145454472022 0.93711968 16.0064934288863 0.94168357 15.9289176087037 0.95689655 15.0486486757633 1.02079108 16.5557873017464 0.97058824 17.9272726403526 0.9994929 17.7089802238715 1.03600406 16.9883504124492 1.04665314 17.5798450286979 1.05425963 17.6427129245194 1.03600406 16.7953009759441 1.02991886 17.865485053842 0.97058824 18.1333332454141 0.93711968 17.82056268416 0.94168357 17.097038233342 0.95689655 18.0792793118546
Image of page 30
1.02079108 16.4578240632745 0.97058824 19.5757574808448 0.9994929 19.0096397883367 1.03600406 19.1118942140053 1.04665314 18.9174419330553 1.05425963 18.970659058623 1.03600406 20.1736661147834 1.02991886 19.0306253834404 0.97058824 20.0909089934986 0.93711968 19.6346319394338 0.94168357 20.4952073231988 0.95689655 20.1693694057106 1.02079108 19.4946844559026
Image of page 31

You've reached the end of your free preview.

Want to read all 31 pages?

  • Left Quote Icon

    Student Picture

  • Left Quote Icon

    Student Picture

  • Left Quote Icon

    Student Picture