The greatest risk is not that a territorial dispute leads to war under present

The greatest risk is not that a territorial dispute

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The greatest risk is not that a territorial dispute leads to war under present circumstances but that changes in the world economy alter those circumstances in ways that render inter-state peace more precarious . If China and the US fail to rebalance their financial and trading relations (Roach, 2014) then a trade war could result, interrupting transnational production networks, provoking social distress, and exacerbating nationalist emotions. This could have unforeseen consequences in the field of security, with nuclear deterrence remaining the only factor to protect the
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world from Armageddon , and unreliably so . Deterrence could lose its credibility : one of the two great powers might gamble that the other yield in a cyber -war or conventional limited war , or third party countries might engage in conflict with each other, with a view to obliging Washington or Beijing to intervene. The long-term effects of low temperatures and eliminated growing seasons means extinction . Starr ’17. [Steven Starr is the director of the University of Missouri’s Clinical Laboratory Science Program, as well as a senior scientist at the Physicians for Social Responsibility. He has been published in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists and the Strategic Arms Reduction (STAR) website of the Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology., 01-09-2017, "Turning a Blind Eye Towards Armageddon — U.S. Leaders Reject Nuclear Winter Studies," Federation Of American Scientists, - nuclear-winter-studies/ ] Now 10 years ago, several of the world’s leading climatologists and physicists chose to reinvestigate the long-term environmental impacts of nuclear war. The peer-reviewed studies they produced are considered to be the most authoritative type of scientific research , which is subjected to criticism by the international scientific community before final publication in scholarly journals . No serious errors were found in these studies and their findings remain unchallenged . Working at the Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics at the University of Colorado-Boulder, the Department of Environmental Sciences at Rutgers, and the Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences at UCLA, these scientists used state-of-the-art computer modeling to evaluate the consequences of a range of possible nuclear conflicts . They began with a hypothetical war in Southeast Asia, in which a total of 100 Hiroshima-size atomic bombs were detonated in the cities of India and Pakistan. Please consider the following images of Hiroshima, before and after the detonation of the atomic bomb, which had an explosive power of 15,000 tons of TNT. The detonation of an atomic bomb with this explosive power will instantly ignite fires over a surface area of three to five square miles . In the recent studies, the scientists calculated that the blast, fire, and radiation from a war fought with 100
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