Udlandet nr den udenlandske konkurrenceevne stiger

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20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016*2017*2018*BNP1326,91371,51410,31436,8150615861682,31738,81801,51722,11810,91846,918951929,71981,22036,42100,22178,12218,3Import af v/t506,6527,4548,5532,8577665,3784,6844,8912,5734,1789,1875,9921,2930,5944990,3984,11033,41094,4Eksport af v/t595,6625,4645,1630,4662,1752,6853,4895,2976811,6914,99941035,2105810821128,51125,611881212,9Privatforbrug624,5640,6661,9678,8718,7757,9797,5825,7853,7834,9862,2884,9910,4920,3934,3959,4984,21017,21049,5Offentlige forbrugsudgifter316,8333,6350,7359,7375,5388,5407,2423,2452,2481,1495,6490,6501,6501,9510,9518,6524,2535,6546,5Bruttoinvesteringer296,6299,3301300,6326,7352,2408,8439,5432,1328,7327,3353,2368,9380398420,1450,3470,7503,9Anm.: tallene for år 2016-2018 er foreløbige (*).Kilde: , tabel NAN1Tabel 4.2. Forsyningsbalancens komponenter for Danmark, 2000-2018, faste priser, k. værdierFaste 2010-priser, k. værdier, mia. kr.20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016*2017*2018*BNP1677,216911698,91705,5175117921862,118791869,41777,71810,91835,11839,31856,51886,51930,719772021,82050,5Import af v/t548,7561,9597,7591,6633,8705,3803,9850,8891,4784,9789,1847,9870,9883,7918,19601000,61036,21064,5Eksport af v/t696,9720,3751,7742,7765,1824,2909,4942,6979,1888,8914,9980,8992,21008,11039,71076,91118,51158,51165,5Privatforbrug752,6754,3765,2775,4811,5841,5866,3881,6885,9855,5862,2864,6869871,5879,4899,5918,4937,6958,8Offentlige forbrugsudgifter412,2420429430436,6441,8453,1458,5473,4487,8495,6492,5496,2495,7505,3513,8514,6518,3522,4Bruttoinvesteringer348,2343338,9336,6359,4379,2427,7439,1418329,3327,3345,2353,1365,1380,8400,7425,7442,6465,9Anm.: tallene for år 2016-2018 er foreløbige (*).Kilde: , tabel NAN1Tabel 4.3. Import og eksports vækstbidrag til vækst i realt BNP, Danmark 2000-2018Pct.-point og pct.2001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016*2017*2018*Import-0,92-2,450,40-2,65-4,32-5,86-2,72-2,326,05-0,23-3,25-1,29-0,71-1,88-2,17-2,06-1,67-1,306
Peter Trip Malmroes | WBL189Københavns Universitet10. april 2019Eksport1,511,99-0,551,323,404,911,851,99-5,001,383,640,630,881,721,952,141,920,33Vækst i BNP, %0,820,470,392,672,343,910,91-0,51-4,911,871,340,230,941,622,342,402,271,42Anm.: 2016-2018 er foreløbige tal (*).Kilde: , tabel NAN1Bilag til opgave 2Figur 4.1. Sæsonkorrigeret BNP, 5 kvt. centreret glidende gennemsnit or BNP, samt trendlinje på sk. tal. Kvartalsvise tal for Danmark år 2000-2018.Mia. kr.2000K12000K42001K32002K22003K12003K42004K32005K22006K12006K42007K32008K22009K12009K42010K32011K22012K12012K42013K32014K22015K12015K42016K3*2017K2*2018K1*2018K4*400420440460480500520540f(x) = 418.32 exp( 0 x )SæsonkorrigeretExponential (Sæsonkor-rigeret)Anm.: Tallene for 2016-2018 er foreløbige (*).Kilde: , tabel NKN1Tabel 4.4. Rådata til vendepunktsanalyse.KvartalSæsonkorrigeret BNP, mia. kr.5. kvt. Centreretglidende gennemsnit, mia. kr.Trend (sk.)Afvigelse i %Differens kvt. TilKvt. %-pointObs. Nr.2000K1414,2419,32517412000K2418,9420,33276322000K3420419,34421,342773-0,47533132000K4424,1420,82422,35521-0,36348790,1118431442001K1419,5422,12423,37008-0,29526880,0682190652001K2421,6423,02424,387388-0,3222029-0,02693462001K3425,4423,08425,407141-0,5470386-0,224835777
Peter Trip Malmroes | WBL189Københavns Universitet10. april 20192001K4424,5424,04426,429345-0,5603143-0,013275782002K1424,4424,88427,454004-0,602171-0,041856792002K2424,3424,68428,481126-0,8871163-0,2849453102002K3425,8425,12429,510715-1,0222598-0,1351436112002K4424,4424,78430,542779-1,3384917-0,3162318122003K1426,7424,74431,577323-1,5842637-0,245772132003K2422,7425,98432,614352-1,53354880,05071486142003K3424,1427,92433,653874-1,32222360,21132526152003K4432429,92434,695893-1,09867450,22354906162004K1434,1432,92435,740416-0,64726980,45140473172004K2436,7436,6436,787449-0,04291540,60435441182004K3437,7438,38437,8369980,124019270,16693463192004K4442,5441,46438,8890690,585781610,46176235202005K1440,9444,12439,9436670,949288060,36350644212005K2449,5446,88441,00081,333149470,38386141222005K3450449,82442,0604731,75530890,42215943232005K4451,5455,8443,1226922,860902351,10559345242006K1457,2459,44444,1874643,433806010,57290366252006K2470,8462,72445,2547943,922519390,48871338262006K3467,7466,02446,3246894,412776450,49025706272006K4466,4467,76447,3971554,551402450,138626282007K1468467,64448,4721984,27402244-0,27738292007K2465,9469,1449,5498244,34883420,07481176302007K3470,2470,78450,6300394,471508650,12267445312007K4475471,26451,712854,32733986-0,1441688322008K1474,8471,6452,7982634,1523431-0,1749968332008K2470,4468,88453,8862843,30340815-0,848935342008K3467,6463,9454,9769191,96121622-1,3421919352008K4456,6457,22456,0701750,25211584-1,7091004362009K1450,1451,72457,166058-1,1912647-1,4433805372009K2441,4446,86458,264574-2,488644-1,2973794382009K3442,9444,96459,36573-3,1360045-0,6473604392009K4443,3444,98460,469532-3,3638559-0,2278515402010K1447,1448,16461,575986-2,90656060,45729533412010K2450,2450,84462,685099-2,56007780,3464828422010K3457,3453,64463,796876-2,18994070,37013715432010K4456,3456,6464,911326-1,78772280,40221788442011K1457,3457,78466,028453-1,76994620,01777658452011K2461,9458,3467,148264-1,8941019-0,1241558462011K3456,1458,94468,270767-1,9926007-0,0984988472011K4459,9459,46469,395966-2,1167558-0,1241551482012K1459,5459,14470,523869-2,4194032-0,3026474492012K2459,9459,84471,654483-2,5049021-0,0854989502012K3460,3460,3472,787813-2,6413145-0,1364124512012K4459,6460,9473,923867-2,7480926-0,1067781528
Peter Trip Malmroes | WBL189Københavns Universitet10. april 20192013K1462,2462475,06265-2,7496689-0,0015763532013K2462,5463,22476,20417-2,72659720,0230717542013K3465,4464,8477,348432-2,62877830,09781887552013K4466,4465,8478,495444-2,6532006-0,0244223562014K1467,5468,3479,645212-2,36533420,2878664572014K2467,2470,56480,797743-2,12932440,23600989582014K3475473,28481,953044-1,7995620,32976235592014K4476,7476,22483,11112-1,42640480,37315719602015K1480479,52484,271979-0,98126250,44514229612015K2482,2481,48485,435628-0,81486150,16640103622015K3483,7483,6486,602073-0,61694610,19791536632015K4484,8486,48487,77132-0,26473890,35220728642016K1*487,3489,16488,9433770,044304260,30904311652016K2*494,4492,38490,1182510,461470130,41716588662016K3*495,6497,7491,2959471,303502070,84203194672016K4*499,8501,3492,4764731,791664580,4881625682017K1*511,4502,52493,6598361,794791240,00312667692017K2*505,3504,32494,8460431,914526180,11973493702017K3*500,5505,98496,03512,004878330,09035215712017K4*504,6505,94497,2270141,75231555-0,2525628722018K1*508,1507,58498,4217921,837441390,08512584732018K2*511,2511,04499,6194412,285851680,44841029742018K3*513,5500,819967752018K4*517,8502,02337976Anm.: Tallene for 2016-2018 er foreløbige (*).Kilde: , tabel NKN19

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