Much less coverage has been devoted to the meltdowns impact on people in the

Much less coverage has been devoted to the meltdowns

This preview shows page 4 - 5 out of 5 pages.

Much less coverage has been devoted to the meltdown's impact on people in the developing world. As the crisis spreads to the poor er countries , however, it's likely that people in these areas will experience hardships every bit as severe as those in the wealthier countries -- and, in many cases, far worse. The greatest worry is that most of the gains achieved in eradicating poverty over the last decade or so will be wiped out, forcing tens or hundreds of millions of people from the working class and the lower rungs of the middle class back into the penury from which they escaped . Equally worrisome is the risk of food scarcity in these areas, resulting in widespread malnutrition, hunger, and starvation . All this is sure to produce vast human misery, sickness, and death, but could also result in social and political unrest of various sorts, including riot, rebellion , and ethnic strife . The president, Congress, or the mainstream media are not, for the most part, discussing these perils. As before, public interest remains focused on the ways in which the crisis is affecting the United States and the other major industrial powers. But the World Bank, the Food and Agriculture Organization, and U.S. intelligence officials, in three recent reports, are paying increased attention to the prospect of a second economic shockwave, this time affecting the developing world. Economic decline causes nuclear conflict – trump makes the impact uniquely likely. Foster 16 (Dennis M. Foster is professor of international studies and political science at the Virginia Military Institute, “Would President Trump go to war to divert attention from problems at home?”, - trump-might-well-go-to-war-to-divert-attention-from-problems-at-home/?utm_term=.e9e1ac3d9b70 ) The data suggest that Americans have elected a leader who, if his campaign rhetoric is any indication, will be historically unparalleled among modern presidents in his active suspicion of those unlike him self and his inner circle, and those who disagree with his goals. As a candidate, Trump also scored second- lowest among presidents in conceptual complexity. Compared to earlier presidents, he used more words and phrases that indicate less willingness to see multiple dimensions or ambiguities in the decision-making environment. These include words and phrases like “absolutely,” “greatest” and “without a doubt.” I took these data on Trump and plugged them into the statistical model that we developed to predict major uses of force by the U nited S tates from 1953 to 2000. For a president of average distrust and conceptual complexity, an economic downturn only weakly predicts an increase in the use of force. But the model would predict that a president with Trump’s numbers would respond to even a minor economic downturn with an increase in the use of force.
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