Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
Google, Inc.
(000s)
Actual
Proforma
FREE CASH FLOW (FCF)
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
EBITDA
27,048
32,863
39,110
45,722
52,347
58,983
EBIT
20,612
24,887
29,499
34,114
39,371
Tax
5,565
6,595
7,640
8,972
10,433
ENTERPRISE
Tax Rate
27.0%
26.5%
25.9%
26.3%
26.5%
Tax-Effected EBIT
15,047
18,292
21,859
25,142
28,938
+ or - off bala
Plus:
Adjusted ENT
Depreciation
6,306
7,484
8,681
9,908
10,555
Amortization/other non-cash charges
5,945
6,739
7,542
8,325
9,057
Less: YE Fun
+- Adjustments
Plus: YE Exc
Less:
EQUITY VALU
Capital Expenditures
11,271
11,837
12,459
12,883
13,068
Change in Working Capital
(499)
(473)
(504)
(546)
(544)
Diluted Share
Free Cash Flow
16,526
21,151
26,127
31,038
36,026
Intrinsic Value
WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL (WACC)
Weighted Av
10.5%
Cost of Equity
Cost of Debt
Risk Free Rat
3.0%
Cost of Debt
4.0%
0.03
Expected Mar
10.0%
Tax Rate
30.0%
Beta
1.25
After Tax Cost of Debt
2.8%
Cost of Equity
11.75%
E / (D+E)
86.0%
D / (D+E)
14.0%
PRESENT VALUE OF CASH FLOWS (P
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Discount Factor
0.91
0.82
0.74
0.67
0.61
Present Value of Cash Flows
14,956
17,323
19,366
20,821
21,871
FIRM VALUE: PERPETUITY GROWTH RATE METHOD
Growth Rate i
3.0%
WACC
PV of CF
PV of Terminal Value
ENTERPRISE VALUE
10.5%
94,336
+
300,476
=
394,812
FIRM VALUE: EBITDA MULTIPLE METHOD
EBITDA Multi
8.4x
