the goods of the other countryC)Appreciation and depreciation1.In a flexible-exchange-rate system, when enomfalls, the domestic currency has undergone a nominal depreciation (or it has become weaker); when enomrises, the domestic currency has become stronger and has undergone a nominal appreciation2.In a fixed-exchange-rate system, a weakening of the currency is called a devaluation, a strengthening is called a revaluation3.We also use the terms real appreciation and real depreciation to refer to changes in the real exchange rateNumerical Problem 1 is a simple example of appreciation and depreciation.D)Purchasing power parity1.To examine the relationship between the nominal exchange rate and the real exchange rate, think first about a simple case in which all countries produce the same goods, which are freely tradeda.If there were no transportation costs, the real exchange rate would have to be e=1, or else everyone would buy goods where they were cheaperb. Setting e=1 in Eq. (13.1) givesP=PFor/enom(13.2)c.This means that similar goods have the same price in terms of the same currency, a concept known as purchasing power parity, or PPPd.Empirical evidence shows that purchasing power parity holds in the long run but not in the short run because in reality, countries produce different goods, because some goods aren’t traded, and because there are transportation costs and legal barriers to trade2. When PPPdoesn’t hold, using Eq. (13.1), we can decompose changes in the real exchange rate into parts∆e/e=∆enom/enom+∆P/P– ∆PFor/PFor
Chapter 13Exchange Rates, Business Cycles, and Macroeconomic Policy in the Open Economy93.This can be rearranged as∆enom/enom=∆e/e+πFor– π(13.3)4.Thus a nominal appreciation is due to a real appreciation or a lower rate of inflation than in the foreign country5.In the special case in which the real exchange rate doesn’t change, so that ∆e/e=0, the resulting equation in Eq. (13.3) is called relative purchasing power parity, since nominal exchange-rate movements reflect only changes in inflationa.Relative purchasing power parity works well as a description of exchange-rate movements in high-inflation countries, since in those countries, movements in relative inflation rates are much larger than movements in real exchange rates6.Box 13.1: McParitya.As a test of the PPPhypothesis, the Economistmagazine periodically reports on the prices of Big Mac hamburgers in different countriesb.The prices, when translated into dollar terms using the nominal exchange rate, range from just over $1 in China to over $4 in Switzerland (using 2003 data), so PPPdefinitely doesn’t holdc.The hamburger price data forecasts movements in exchange rates(1)Hamburger prices might be expected to converge, so countries in which Big Macs are expensive may have a depreciation, while countries in which Big Macs are cheap may have an appreciationE)The real exchange rate and net exports1.The real exchange rate (also called the terms of trade) is important because it represents the