public_opinion_in_libya_2017_english.pdf

Views on the importance of elections i am going to

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Views on the Importance of Elections “I am going to read you four statements about elections, please le me know which one is closest to your view.” (n=1,979) 36% 58% 35% 45% 50% 67% 28% 25% 19% 30% 30% 30% 7% 4% 3% 4% 6% 7% 12% 9% 7% 11% 13% 11% Not registered to vote (n=722) Registered to vote (n=1,257) Has not voted (n=665) Has voted in 1 election (n=385) Has voted in 2 elections (n=264) Has voted in 3 elections (n=665) Elections are very important; every Libyan should absolutely participate Elections are generally important; Libyan citizens should try to participate Elections are not too important; Libyan citizens may or may not participate Elections are useless; Libyan citizens should avoid participating DK/NR 24 24
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Views on Elections 7% 12% 65% 26% 32% 15% 18% 17% 5% 29% 21% 7% People like me can have influence on decisions made by the government Voting gives people like me a chance to influence decision-making in our country I am free to vote for whoever I want on Election Day without external influence Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree DK/NR “Now I will read to you a list of statements, for each one, please tell me to what extent you agree or disagree with each:” (n=1,979) 25 25
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59% 75% 62% 62% 63% 65% 71% 70% 70% 61% 51% 73% 53% 63% 38% 23% 35% 36% 32% 35% 24% 28% 26% 35% 46% 24% 43% 33% Negative assessment of elections (n=376) Positive assessment of elections (n=892) Tripoli (n=520) South (n=848) West (n=272) East (n=520) 60+ (n=189) 50-59 (n=412) 40-49 (n=483) 30-39 (n=412) 18-29 (n=537) Male (n=1,004) Female (n=975) Total Yes No DK/NR Current Voter Registration Status “Are you registered as a voter?” (n=1,979) Key demographic groups less likely to be registered 26 26
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28% 42% 27% 27% 32% 36% 32% 38% 30% 30% 30% 41% 22% 32% 33% 35% 32% 25% 31% 39% 27% 27% 34% 34% 38% 30% 36% 33% 19% 12% 19% 18% 18% 12% 18% 15% 18% 20% 13% 13% 19% 16% 13% 6% 13% 15% 9% 9% 12% 12% 10% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% Negative assessment of elections (n=376) Positive assessment of elections (n=892) Tripoli (n=339) South (n=272) West (n=848) East (n=520) 60+ (n=189) 50-59 (n=412) 40-49 (n=483) 30-39 (n=412) 18-29 (n=537) Male (n=1,004) Female (n=975) Total Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely DK/NR Likelihood of Voting in Constitutional Referendum “The Constitutional Declaration stipulates that a public referendum should be held to approve this Constitution as the perman ent constitution in Libya. If such a referendum was to be held soon, how likely would you be to participate in it?” (n = 1,979) 27 27
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33% 52% 31% 27% 41% 45% 38% 46% 40% 35% 36% 48% 29% 39% 24% 25% 25% 20% 23% 25% 16% 20% 23% 26% 28% 22% 26% 24% 20% 13% 21% 24% 18% 15% 23% 15% 19% 19% 15% 14% 22% 18% 19% 8% 18% 23% 11% 14% 14% 13% 12% 17% 15% 12% 16% 14% Negative assessment of elections (n=948) Positive assessment of elections (n=851) Tripoli (n=339) South (n=272) West (n=848) East (n=520) 60+ (n=189) 50-59 (n=412) 40-49 (n=483) 30-39 (n=412) 18-29 (n=537) Male (n=1,004) Female (n=975) Total Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely DK/NR Likelihood of Voting in Presidential Elections “If elections for a new president were to be held soon, how likely are you to vote in these elections?” (n=1,979) 28 28
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29 Likelihood of Voting (by gender) 48% 29% 41% 22% 22% 26% 30% 36% 14% 22% 13% 19% 12% 16% 10% 10% Male (n=1,004) Female (n=975) Male (n=1,004) Female (n=975) Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely DK/NR Constitutional Referendum Presidential Election 29
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30 Likelihood of Voting (by age) 38% 46% 40% 35% 36% 32% 38% 30% 30% 30% 16% 20% 23% 26% 28% 27% 27% 34% 34% 38% 23% 15% 19% 19% 15% 18% 15% 18% 20% 13% 14% 13% 12% 17% 15% 12% 12% 10% 9% 9% 60+ (n=189) 50-59 (n=412) 40-49 (n=483) 30-39 (n=412) 18-29 (n=537) 60+ (n=189) 50-59 (n=412) 40-49 (n=483) 30-39 (n=412) 18-29 (n=537) Very likely Somewhat likely
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