In turn, this process continually disrupts established interests, throwing
up the risk that at some point they may succeed in halting the process of
reform, causing economic growth to falter.
30
The core issue of socialist economic reform was the possibility of
nesting the advantages of decentralized markets within the structures of
socialist state regulation.
31
It was sometimes thought that centralized
planning had worked well in the early years of so-called extensive growth,
and needed reform only after industrial modernization. Public discussion
of the need for reform waited for the death of Stalin and a new generation
of more freethinking economists. The Russian archives have shown,
however, that the need for reform became obvious to insiders when the
first Soviet five-year plan was still under way. As early as 1931 Stalin’s
industry chief Sergo Ordzhonikidze had become a keen advocate of
decentralizing intra-industry transactions to plant managers and letting
them keep profits and bear losses.
32
He was opposed from above and
below. In the economy, industrial officials hoarded supplies and
exaggerated demands; in other words, they continued to play the
bureaucratic game, not the market game. In the Kremlin, Stalin and
Molotov did not wish to give up detailed oversight of the allocation of
resources. At this time there was no reform.
Because this did not solve any problems, the issue of reform remained
on the table in the postwar period. There were many variants but a
shared theme was the need to replace physical controls on producers by
financial controls, making producers responsible for profits and losses,
29
Philippe Aghion and Peter Howitt, ‘Appropriate growth theory: a
unifying framework’,
Journal of the European Economic Association
4, nos
2-3 (2006), 269-314.
30
Nicholas Crafts and Marco Magnani, ‘The golden age and the second
globalization in Italy’, in Gianni Toniolo, ed.,
The Oxford Handbook of the
Italian Economy, 1861-2011
(Oxford: Oxford University Press,
forthcoming).
31
Paul G. Hare, ‘Economic reform in eastern Europe’,
Journal of
Economic Surveys
1, no. 1 (1987), 25-59.
32
R. W. Davies, The Industrialisation of Soviet Russia, vol. 4, Crisis and
Progress in the Soviet Economy, 1931-1933 (Basingstoke: Macmillan,
1996), 11-18, 201-28, 265-70, 345-6.
