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Sid BamelYearVariable Name2010Climate DynamicsParametersCO2 concentration, pre-industrial (ppm)275Climate sensitivity0.8Warming delay0.015CO2 concentrations (ppm)379.329Radiative forcing other gases (W/m^2)0.83Radiative forcing CO2 (W/m^2)1.721Radiative forcing, total (W/m^2)2.551Equilibrium warming (degrees C)2.041Global average surface temperature above pre-industrial levels (degrees C)0.800Carbon Cycle ModelParametersBox 1Alpha1Gamma0.13Beta0.00047Emissions (Mt C)7640.5Box 1 Concentration (ppm)301.099Box 2 Concentration (ppm)30.098Box 3 Concentration (ppm)34.878Box 4 Concentration (ppm)12.357Box 5 Concentration (ppm)0.897Total CO2 Concentration (ppm)379.329Emissions ModelForcingPopulation growth rate (%/year)0.0128Per capita income growth rate (%/year)0.0000Energy intensity growth rate (%/year-0.0067
Emission intensity growth rate (%/year)-0.0010Land use emissions (Mt C)1110.000.0512Population (mm people)6900Per capita income (thousand USD)8.5Energy intensity (EJ per trillion USD of output)5.98Emission intensity (Mt C per EJ)18.62Industrial carbon emissions (Mt C)6530.54Total BAU emissions (Mt C)7640.54Abatement cost function coefficient β_1
201120122013201420152016201720182019381.33178 383.32912 385.32038 387.30471 389.28111391.2485 393.20572 395.15152 397.084660.820.820.810.810.800.790.790.780.781.7491.7771.8051.8321.8591.8861.9131.9391.9652.5732.5952.6172.6392.6602.6812.7022.7222.7422.0582.0762.0942.1112.1282.1452.1612.1782.1940.8190.8380.8570.8760.8950.9140.9330.9520.971Box 2Box 3Box 4Box 50.997249 0.9865774 0.9428731 0.60653070.20.320.250.10.000470.000470.000470.000477686.47729.17768.67804.77837.27866.07891.07911.97928.8301.569302.041302.516302.992303.471303.952304.434304.917305.40230.73831.38032.02432.66933.31633.96434.61235.26135.90935.56636.25136.93337.61138.28538.95439.61840.27640.92812.55412.74512.93013.10813.28013.44613.60513.75713.9030.9050.9120.9190.9240.9290.9330.9370.9400.943381.33178 383.32912 385.32038 387.30471 389.28111391.2485 393.20572 395.15152 397.084660.01260.01240.01220.01200.01180.01160.01140.01120.01100.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.0000-0.0071-0.0074-0.0078-0.0082-0.0086-0.0090-0.0094-0.0098-0.0103
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20202021202220232024202520262027399.00383 400.89925 402.77281404.62607 406.460406 408.277033410.07245 411.8432890.770.770.760.750.750.740.740.731.9912.0172.0422.0662.0902.1142.1382.1612.7622.7822.8012.8202.8382.8562.8732.8912.2102.2252.2412.2562.2702.2852.2992.3120.9891.0081.0271.0451.0641.0821.1011.1197941.67932.07924.07917.37912.17908.17895.67874.4305.887306.372306.856307.340307.823308.306308.789309.27036.55737.20237.84438.48439.12239.75840.39141.02041.57342.20842.83343.44944.05644.65445.24245.81914.04214.17214.29314.40714.51414.61414.70714.7920.9450.9460.9460.9460.9460.9450.9440.943399.00383 400.89925 402.77281404.62607 406.460406 408.277033410.07245 411.8432890.01070.01120.01160.01200.01240.01290.01330.01370.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.00000.0000-0.0107-0.0110-0.0114-0.0117-0.0120-0.0133-0.0145-0.0157
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