in global defense spending show a rapid and marked shift from the United States

In global defense spending show a rapid and marked

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in global defense spending show a rapid and marked shift from the United States and its allies toward emerging economies, especially China. In 2011, the United States and its partners accounted for approximately 80 percent of the military spending by the 15 countries with the largest defense budgets. But, according to a McKinsey study, that share could fall significantly over the next eight years -- perhaps to as low as 55 percent. The resulting deterioration in American military superiority has already begun, as the countries benefiting most rapidly from globalization are using their newfound wealth to build military capacity, especially in high-tech weaponry. As Robert Work and Shawn Brimley of the Center for a New American Security wrote this year : "[T]he dominance enjoyed by the United States in the late 1990s/early 2000s in the areas of high-end sensors, guided weaponry, battle networking, space and cyberspace systems, and stealth technology has started to erode. Moreover, this erosion is now occurring at an accelerated rate." (Work has since been confirmed as deputy secretary of defense.) China, in particular, is acquiring higher-end capabilities and working to establish "no-go zones" in its near abroad in the hopes of denying U.S. forces the ability to operate in the Western Pacific. China's declared defense budget grew 12 percent this year -- and has grown at least ninefold since 2000 -- and most experts think its real defense spending is considerably larger. The International Institute for Strategic Studies has judged that Beijing will spend as much on defense as Washington does by the late 2020s or early 2030s. Meanwhile, regional powers like Iran -- and even nonstate actors like Hezbollah -- are becoming more militarily formidable as it becomes easier to obtain precision-guided munitions and thus threaten U.S. power-projection capabilities. Simultaneously, the United States is slashing its defense spending while allocating its remaining funds less strategically. Not only has the Defense Department estimated that it has already cut almost $600 billion from its budget plans for the next decade, but if current trends continue, by
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2021 nearly half of the Pentagon procurement, training, research a The U.S. National Intelligence C using two distinct methodologies estimates , the U.S. share of globa to around 15 percent in 2050. Th period, the relative power of the The United States is worsening th Unsustainable fiscal policy will l with a severity and alacrity not re total federal debt currently held b $13 trillion. That is almost three- brief period during and after Wor programs that will impose enorm GDPs OF G-7 AND E-7 COUNT n's budget will go to personnel-related costs , rath and development, or operations. Council recently projected the future distribution s that incorporated a range of "hard" and "soft" f al power will fall dramatically, from around 25 p he National Intelligence Council predicted that o European Union and Japan will fall significantly his problem by refusing to confront its federal d limit U.S. competitiveness and freedom of action emotely appreciated in today's U.S. foreign-poli
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