The legal side is also still unclear the technical framework regulations of the

The legal side is also still unclear the technical

This preview shows page 25 - 29 out of 36 pages.

The legal side is also still unclear: the technical framework regulations of the UN/ECE (Economic Commission for Europe) are not yet fully in place: and the approval of Level 3 vehicles for assisted driving on motorways is still not defined Implications Strategy& | PwC
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Automated driving expansion delayed due to higher tech cost and limits on where automated vehicles can operate Market outlook Source: PwC AutoFacts® 26 ~25 percent of new car registrations Level 4/5 autonomy in 2030 Level 4 expected to be available at low speed and only in restricted areas from 2023 Road-ready Level 5 cars will not be available before 2028 Up to ~10 percent of new car registrations at Level 4 possible in 2030 driven by two scenarios Scenario 1: New cars with strong Operating Driving Domain (ODD) coverage (>80% of situations) at L4 expected at <5% of registrations Scenario 2: In addition, L4 cars with lower ODD coverage (~50% of situations) will be sold (e.g. to people mover fleet operators) adding further 5% of new car registrations ~20 percent of new car registrations Level 4/5 in 2030, over 40 percent in automated driving-ready cities Level 5 will not be available before 2028 Gradual roll-out of automated driving infrastructure across tiers of cities prolongs adaptation 16 2018 2030 2020 2025 16 16 15 Level 3 Level 0 Level 1 Level 4 Level 2 Level 5 2030 2018 2020 2025 17 16 17 17 2020 31 24 2018 2025 35 2030 30 Autonomous vehicles (total new vehicle sales – EU, US, China; in millions) Strategy& | PwC
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Automated driving technology market for cars to be worth $270bn by 2030 ADAS market development (vehicle-based) 27 SAE Level ADAS Features /Use cases 2020 2025 2030 L1 Adaptive cruise control M 2 M M Assistive parking (driver-assisted) M M M Lane keep assist (system steering) M M M Blind spot monitoring rear/side (system steering) M M M L2 Assistive parking (remote/key parking) M M M Lane changing assist P M M L3 Emergency assistant P M M Traffic jam assistant without lane change P M M Highway autopilot (single-lane) P M M Highway autopilot (incl. lane change) P M M Intersection movement assist P M M L4 Fully autonomous valet parking P M M Full highway pilot with lane change C M M Urban autopilot C P M L5 Full autonomy C C P People mover C C C 270.2 80.2 2020 2030 2025 187.8 +13% p.a. Market potential ADAS technology EU/US/CN 1 (in USD) L4/L5 ADAS features will not only be applied to traditional cars, but also form the basis for new types of vehicle for special ODDs (e.g. people mover without steering wheels) ! Strategy& | PwC 1) Focus on passenger vehicles, based on end customer prices, 2) M: Mass Market, C: Concept; P: Premium; Source: Strategy& analysis
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State-specific regulations permitting test & operation of AVs on public roads (e.g. CVC 2012) NHTSA’s NCAP with mandatory (e.g. LDW) and recommendation-based installation of basic L2 ADAS safety features (e.g. LCA) Incentives to encourage EV purchase (e.g. tax reduction in Belgium, Germany) European auto OEMs subject to strict CO 2 regulations (e.g. penalties for exceeding fleet emission targets) Strong focus on determining the mandatory ownership rules for data generated by connected autonomous vehicles (e.g. SELF Drive & AV START
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  • Fall '20
  • Automobile, Electric vehicle

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