Uncerntain future to us russian relations have

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Uncerntain future to US-Russian relations Have positive feelings about obama in Europe translated into results? CHINA who lost china? cold war power politics rise of china deng – father of modern Chinese development economic development over ideological reinforcement/containment of the west during this period, America’s relationship with China begins to improve human rights incidents Tinneman Square (1990’s – what would it mean if China actually rises) what to do about Taiwan? Clinton administration two options containment school – excluding rise of US, in transition of global power from GB US rise of powers increases instability nationalism in China, recipe for disaster solution: containment, ring China geographically w/ American allies engagement school – china not actually a threat looking at relative power, US 400x as powerful as China not a concern
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only way to guarantee that US would end up in conflict w/ China was containment containment = self-fufilling prophecy key events Taiwan straits crisis WTO membership/MFN debate engagement school see this as evidence of China’s more peaceful intentions China should get permanent Bush talks tough about China presidential transitions EP3 incident April 1 st , 2001 EP3 plane is damaged and has to land on a Chinese island was the plane in Chinese or intl air space when it was damaged? was it damaged by Chinese? revealed China’s “interesting interpretation” of international borders sept 11 th was an enormous distraction from this incident bob zellek September 2005 speech that defines policy for remainder of Bush administration was supposed to be important – everyone should be listening lost in translation moment speeches punch line “responsible stakeholder ” – no translation for stakeholder (Beijing - what does it mean) participate rather than undermine context today – china is continuing to rise post-financial crisis: China is not going anywhere
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“charm offensive” china as an economic titan people underestimate probability China’s economic/military power military power ASBP anti-ship ballistic missile this could sink an American air craft carrier this would change balance of power in the Pacific internal risks for china growth for people rather than ideology if Chinese economy falters, there is a lot of underlying risk for the Chinese government many wonder – potential economic crisis? what do American and chinese interests look like? even if China becomes a responsible stake holder – what China and American want to do in the given situation might not always be the same Copenhagen summit on climate change sanctions on Iran China – economic relationship with iran absolute national sovereignty they don’t like domestic interference in other countries Taiwan global economy/currency
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good for china, more exports, bad for everyone else US should be pressuring China to let the yen rise in value?
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  • Spring '08
  • Tierney
  • Cold War, Nuclear weapon

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