: Here is a fairly typical news report of the monthly Gallup poll of the
fortunes of the three major political parties in Canada—the Liberals, the Conservatives
(or Tories), and the New Democratic Party. (Gallup is a long-established commercial
polling company.) It appeared in Canadian newspapers in February 1984.
Liberals cut Tories’ lead in Gallup poll
Montreal (CP) –A Gallup poll published today indicates the federal Liberals have cut into
the Progressive Conservatives’ lead in voter support, but not as much as Liberal party
polls made public last month had suggested.
The Gallup poll, conducted in early January, indicates the Conservatives have a
20-percentage-point lead over the Liberals, down from 23 percentage points in
Fifty-two per cent of decided respondents questioned in January supported the
Tories, a drop of one percentage point from the previous month, while the Liberals
gained two percentage points to 32 per cent.
The new Democratic Party had the support of 15 per cent, unchanged from
Gallup says its poll is accurate to within four percentage points either way 19
times out of 20, meaning the apparent changes may be illusory.
The margin of error means, statistically, that voter support for the Conservatives
could have been as high as 56 per cent or as low as 48 per cent, while the Liberals could
have had the support of as many as 36 per cent of voters or as little as 28 per cent.
Twenty-one per cent of the 1,046 respondents were undecided or refused to state a
choice, down from 27 per cent in December.