Recap of the Method Used in Example Problem:
Define success of an individual trial.
Use the binomial equation to calculate the cumulative probability of each part of the system.
Make a table with each part’s
and its percentage contribution to the whole. The percentages
must add to 1.
(Total) using the law of total probability.
Use the total probability form of Bayes’ theorem to calculate the
item of interest.
Using the example problem as reference, complete the following five problems.
Turn in the work and results for each of the five problems. (Note: 4 includes a,b,c and 5 includes a,b,c,d).
Note that each problem provides a hint which should guide you through the problem along with the
Example Problem as a reference.
Post any questions you have to the General Discussion area.
You are taking a 10 question multiple choice test. If each question has four choices and you
guess on each question, what is the probability of getting one question correct?
[Hint: This is a binomial
in the form of 10 choose 1 with p=.25.]
There are 10 questions in the test, and 4 possible choices for each question., in which the user wants
to determine the probability of getting one question right. As mentioned p=0.25.
The probability of getting one question correct is