As tensions on the korean peninsula have been

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As tensions on the Korean Peninsula have been rekindled following the breakdown of the second U.S.-North Korea summit in Hanoi in late February, Tokyo and Seoul may be leaning toward improving bilateral relations, diplomatic sources say. Trump reassuring Asian allies of US commitments and engagement—any US retrenchment will be gradual Cole, Senior non-resident fellow at the China Policy Institute, University of Nottingham, 2017 (J. Michael, “The New Asian Strategy of the U.S.: Continuity with Trumpian Characteristics,” The Prospect Institute, April 2017, accessed 7/5/19 GDI-JEM) In sum, while much of Donald J. Trump’s electoral campaign and rhetoric following his election indicated that the United States was on the brink of enacting an unprecedented break with long standing American foreign policy, a variety of systemic and institutional factors , both domestic and geopolitical, will militate against such a move, thus ensuring a modicum of continuity for the foreseeable future. At most, and particularly in parts of the world such as the Asia-Pacific that remain essential to the economic wellbeing of the United States, American political and military retrenchment —if it occurs at all—will not occur suddenly but will rather be a gradual process contingent on a variety of regional factors, chief among them the behavior of revisionist states like China and North Korea. The need to reassure allies and partners within the region, and indications that a withdrawal of American security guarantees would in the long term foster greater insecurity for the United States and higher costs or intervention, will also compel President Trump and his entourage to tone down their rhetoric of retrenchment while encouraging friends in the region to share more in the burden of standing up to regional challenges to the existing order. Weeks after his inauguration, President Trump was already allaying fears in Tokyo and Seoul, and adopting policies that have much in common with those of his pre-decessors, whose approach to the region he had so severely criticized. Although he presents himself as a disruptor and outlier in American politics, President Trump will likely, as has every president before him, be forced to move from the extreme end of the political spectrum he began at toward a middle. And for American engagement with the Asia-Pacific, this means that the United States is here to stay.
US security guarantees strong now - ROC
Brink – strong but need reassurances **ROC depends on US for security – relationship is strong now but regular and credible reassurances are necessary Bush, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, 2018 (Richard, “Why assurances matter in U.S.-Taiwan relations,” Brookings Institute, August 29 2018, - taiwan-relations/amp/ , accessed 7/6/19, GDI – JBII) Now, it is a fact of life that even in the best of international relationships, no commitment is perfect. There are always cobwebs of

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