Classification of Enterprises High Probability Medium Probability • Investor-backed • Contract with Suppliers (not necessarily) Low Probability • Nothing set • Investor-backed • EPC contracted • Equipment Suppliers Contracted 880 868,8 424,3 120 5 105 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 MWAC High Probability Medium Probability2 Low Probability3 New Auctions are key to keep the pipeline of future projects! ? ? ? Regarding PV Projects contracted in 2014 and 2015.
Projects in Operation,Test or Construction Completion Expected for 2018 Projects under Construction 30 MW 270 MW 430 MW 150 MW 80 MW 90 MW 89.7 MW 300 MW 150 MW Completion Expected in 2017 Projects in Operation, under test or Construction *data brought up to date in November, 2017. Regarding PV Projects contracted in 2014 and 2015.
Project Overload % Enterprises Overload (%) [MWp/MWac] Overload Relation between DC power and AC power of the Power Plant. Usage Increase the power generation with low CAPEX raise. Ideal Overload There is no ideal Overload. Each project must seek the best balance between DC and AC power according to its IRR. It is observed that a significant portion of the contracted projects obtained an Overload between 20% and 25%. Overload Histogram of the Contracted Projects
Capacity Factor % Projects CF (%) Capacity Factor (%) Relationship between the amount of power generated by the power plant according to its potential of generation (if the power plant operates 100% of the time under maximum capacity). Usage Comparison between power plants in different locations and/or with different technologies. Ideal CF There is no ideal CF, but the higher CF, the greater is the power generated (often without a high increase in CAPEX). Evaluate sites of greater productivity and use technologies that increase the generation and/or reduce losses in the power plant. Those measures are key to achieve more profitable projects. CF (Capacity Factor) Histogram of the Contracted Projects
BUSINESS Opportunities in the Brazilian Utility Scale PV Market
Introduction High Probability The first solar power plants in Brazil are being constructed, creating many opportunities for various sectors of the PV chain. This report points out business opportunities for projects contracted in the 3 auctions in 2014 and 2015 considering its development stages. PV Plants in Operation PV Plants under Test PV Plants under Construction PV Plants which has Not Started Construction Opportunities to buy assets. Opportunities for Operation & Maintenance services. Opportunities for Owner's Engineering and Certification services. Opportunities for secondary suppliers and outsourced services. PV Projects without EPC contract and Suppliers* PV Projects with medium probability have not contracted the EPC and there may be opportunities for various services and equipment suppliers. PV Projects with no Investors, EPC or Suppliers Low probability PV Projects have not defined their suppliers, not contracted EPC and, in particular, have not yet signed an investment agreement/contract for the plant construction.
- Fall '19
- Photovoltaics, Weighted average cost of capital
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