Alcohol 5-YearGrowth RateBMI ForecastDenotes Alcoholic Drinks sector dynamism as a %. Scores based on annual average growth over ourfive-year forecast period.Total AlcoholConsumptionBMI ForecastDenotes total consumption of Alcoholic Drinks in millions of litres. Large markets score higher thansmaller ones.Country RewardsPopulationBMI ForecastSize of the population in millions as a measure for the total addressable market.Mass AffluentClassBMI ForecastProportion of households with an income that exceeds USD10,000. Excludes those in poverty butdemonstrates potential demand for branded alcohol products.UrbanPopulationBMI ForecastSize of the urban population in millions. Higher urban population size is a positive for distribution, highereconomic development and accessing products through a network of retailers.SpendingPopulationBMI ForecastProportion of the population between 20-39 years old as a %. This is typically the range that companiestarget as a high spending/trendsetting generation and are generally over the legal drinking age.RisksIndustry RisksRegulatoryEnvironmentBMIOperationalRisk IndexUses Operational Risk's Economic Openness as a proxy for determining the ease of entering and doingbusiness in a market.F&DFormalisationBMI ForecastUses our Urban/Rural Split (%) data as a proxy for determining the level of retail/hospitalityformalisation in the market. Highly urbanised markets allow companies to easily serve more consumers.Logistics RiskBMIOperationalRisk IndexUses Operational Risk's Logistics Risk to determine the risks and costs associated with moving productsaround a market. Higher scores indicate quality transport, cheap fuel/electricity and high levels of techadoption.Country RisksLong TermEconomic RiskIndexBMI CountryRisk IndexThe LT ERI takes into account the structural characteristics of economic growth, the labour market,price stability, exchange rate stability and the sustainability of the balance of payments, as well as fiscaland external debt outlooks for the coming decade.Short TermEconomic RiskIndexBMI CountryRisk IndexThe ST ERI seeks to define current vulnerabilities and assess real GDP growth, inflation, unemployment,exchange rate fluctuation, balance of payments dynamics, as well as fiscal and external debt credentialsover the coming two yearsLong TermPolitical RiskIndexBMI CountryRisk IndexThe LT PRI assesses a country's structural political characteristics based on our assumption that liberal,democratic states with no sectarian tensions and broad-based income equality exhibit the strongestcharacteristics in favour of political stability, over a multiyear timeframe.Short TermBMI CountryThe ST PRI assesses pertinent political risks to investment climate stability over a shorter time frame, upIndia Food & Drink Report | Q3 2018bmiresearch.com72
SourceRationalePolitical RiskIndexRisk Indexto 24 months forward.
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- Summer '18
- Sagar Arora
- ........., Alcoholic beverage, Food processing