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Employing similar regression methods used by chong et

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Employing similar regression methods used by Chonget al.(2004)of OLS and IV in samenation Mexico, Winkelried (2005) investigated the role of income distribution as thedeterminant of informal sector size for the period 1992 to 2002. He found that higher GrossDomestic Product (GDP) per capita leads significantly to a smaller informal sector whereas ahigher share of services in the local GDP increases informality. In addition, higher inequalityleads to a larger informal sector and the higher middle class implies a low extent ofinformality that is the redistribution towards a large middle class reduces the size ofinformality.Alanonet al.(2005) estimated the informal sector in Spain for the period 1976-2002 usingthe similar method used by Loayza (1997) and Guillermo (2008) of MIMIC approach andmaximum likelihood in estimating the size and causes of informality in Spain. This researchfound that labour costs, tax burden, disposable income and regulation burden have a positiveinfluence on informal sector size. The regression shows that a unit increase in the standarddeviation will produce an increase of 0.60 standard deviations in the shadow economy whilea unitary increases in the tax burden cause increase of 0.34 standard deviations. The informalsector was found to be negatively related to unemployment.Another study by Michaelet al.(2007) looked at the causes of firm’s decision to locate intothe informal sector. The research was based on Kenya, South Africa, Senegal, Tanzania,Uganda and Zambia data for the period covering 2003 to 2006. The researchers used theprobit model where the dependent variable was set to 1 if the firm is formal, 0 otherwise.
The results showed that formal firms report more of their sales for tax purposes,approximately 75 percent of sales compared to 35 percent in informal firms. Thus theresearch found that the taxes, labour restrictions and corruption are significant variables andthey have a positive relationship to informal economy. The researchers indicated that labourregulations restrictions make firms to react quickly to seasonal fluctuations and changes inmarket activity by increasing or decreasing the workforce. However, in Kenya the durationfor licensing was considered as the driver of corruption hence leads to an increase in the sizeof informal economy.Chiumya (2007) analysed the contribution of tax to the existence of parallel economy inMalawi for the period covering 1965 to 2000. He used the currency demand approach and theresults of currency demand equation was estimated using OLS method. This study found thatincome taxes contributed greatly to both the parallel economy and to tax revenue. The resultsindicate that income taxes contribute 51.3 percent to parallel economy followed by import taxwith 28.2 percent and lastly by consumption tax with 20.3 percent. According to the researchall categories of taxes are significant determinants and they have positive influence to theinformal economy and also there is a positive relation between tax revenue and paralleleconomy.

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Term
Fall
Professor
chokera
Tags
Economics, Unemployment, researcher

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