No way to know for sure but one can say that the

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No way to know for sure BUT one can say that the likelihood of a transfer to radical Islamic terrorists will increase if the number of Islamic nuclear powers grows Would be hard to determine which country provided the WMD Nuclear armed countries in the middle east have too many enemies Iran and Iraq, Saudi Arabia and Iran, Turkey, Iraq
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After Proliferation: What to do if more states go nuclear 17:53 Israel against all possible enemies (everyone) Islamic states against Israel and one another multipolar arms race Countries sometimes precipitate wars because gov believes they can gain a temporary military/economic advantage through war Nuclear war would be so destructive that its prospect might dissuade states from escalating conflicts Asia has many countries with major territorial/political disputes, 5 with nuclear weapons (china, India, N Korea, Pakistan, and Russia) Japan and Taiwan could join the list Most of these countries are nationalists in a way European countires no longer are Mindful of their sovereignty, uninterested in international organizations, sensitive to slights, wary about changes in the regional balance of military power If US were to stop serving as guarantor of the current order, asia would be “ripe for rivalry”- including nuclear rivalry Stability-Instability paradox Actors take advantage of the very fear of nuclear war to pursue lesser sorts of conflict with impunity Terms of Use Some people might want to use nuclear weapons just to show rest of world that it is willing and able to Nazi Germany targeted civilian refugees as part of its strategy (instilling terror) State that would attempt that strategy openly rejects existing international order, considers its opponents to be less than human, and seeks to intimidate others Internal conflicts could create hatred so powerful that actors might resort to using nuclear weapons Some states might use bombs as a last-ditch effort, if facing military defeat, to draw the superpowers into the conflict Taiwan might embrace a similar strategy f it crosses the nuclear threshold Most plausible use of nuclear weapons would incolved a nuclear power that found itself on the losing side of a nonnuclear war
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After Proliferation: What to do if more states go nuclear 17:53 The defense should not rest To bolster efficacy of deterrence it would be necessary to deploy surveillance systems that could identify and warn against aircraft movement and missile launches Skeptics say wouldn’t work Might be ineffective defense but it can play a role in deterring an attack US officials should develop the capacity to evacuate those cities at risk, stockpile radiation meters, build fallout shelters If an attack did happen it would be important for the gov of the targeted state to respond with policies other than doing nothing or ordering indiscriminate retaliation One option= launch a massive nonnuclear military campaign Response could not be summoned up out of the blue, would require careful planning and preparation
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