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missile tests in the Taiwan Strait. Additionally, the PRC has made it clear through multiple statements that it will take necessary action to ensure it remains in power over Taiwan. The current Taiwan President also understands the interference and influence the PRC intend to have during the election process. (b) Examples from the events leading up to the election include, but are not limited to:1. “he People's Liberation Army Daily (the PLA's official newspaper) proclaimed "The armed forces of the PRC stand ready to crush anyone seeking to undermine the CCP's sovereign authority."2. “As a reminder to Taiwan and the US, the PRC passed the Anti-Cessation Law formalizing their long-standing policy to use "non-peaceful means" against the "Taiwan independence movement" should Taiwan declare their independence.”3. “Concerned the PRC may be attempting to interfere with "domestic affairs," Taiwan's current president Chen Shui-bian (Democratic Progressive Party) increases the alert status of Taiwan defense forces. Chen Shui-bian emphasizes this action is purely defensive and is designed to demonstrate Taiwan's ability to democratically elect a new president without any "external influence or intervention."
[SHORTENED TITLE UP TO 50 CHARACTERS] 4(c) The most compelling evidence to support the assessment of limited intervention is both the open declaration of the United States to separate itself from the crisis and the uncovered plans of the PRC to increase tensions between the two countries. LINCHPIN: 1. “US representatives warned both presidential candidates that under the current circumstances, the US could not guarantee political, or let alone military support, should a confrontation with the PRC occur. Said one high ranking US official "should Shu claim independence, there is no way the US President will send US forces near Taiwan."2. “Taiwan's Central News Agency is reporting Taiwan's National Security Bureau (NSB)has uncovered plans by the PRC to increase tensions between the two countries should Shu Chin-Chiang (TSU) be elected.”Though the United States has supported Taiwan in the past with military equipment of a defensive nature but also supported a One China concept. In the event Shu Chin-Chiang is elected and moves toward the independence of Taiwan, the absence of United States support would be an encouraging element to PRC involvement in Taiwan. Due to economic reasons it would be in the PRC’s best interest to avoid a direct attack however. Understanding the United States, while not directly involved, would also not tolerate or support a war or military conflict ofany kind and most likely impose heavy sanctions, with backing from a large international community.