MMIS
Exponential_with_Season (fig 10.8) cutting edge.xlsx

Dec na na 5 jan na na 5 feb na na 5 mar na na 5 apr

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Dec #N/A #N/A 5 Jan #N/A #N/A 5 Feb #N/A #N/A 5 Mar #N/A #N/A 5 Apr #N/A #N/A 5 May #N/A #N/A 5 June #N/A #N/A 5 July #N/A #N/A 5 Aug #N/A #N/A 5 Sep #N/A #N/A 5 Oct #N/A #N/A 5 Nov #N/A #N/A 5 Dec #N/A #N/A 6 Jan #N/A #N/A 6 Feb #N/A #N/A 6 Mar #N/A #N/A 6 Apr #N/A #N/A 6 May #N/A #N/A 6 June #N/A #N/A 6 July #N/A #N/A 6 Aug #N/A #N/A 6 Sep #N/A #N/A 6 Oct #N/A #N/A A B C D E F G H I 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75
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asonality Range Name Cells Smoothing Constant ActualForecast G6:G75 a = 0.5 Alpha K5 ForecastingError H6:H75 Initial Estimate InitialEstimate K8 Average = 24,000 MAD K28 MSE K31 Type of Seasonality SeasonalFactor K14:K25 Monthly SeasonallyAdjustedForecast F6:F75 SeasonallyAdjustedValue E6:E75 Month Seasonal Factor TrueValue D6:D75 Jan 0.930 TypeOfSeasonality K11 Feb 0.900 Mar 0.990 Apr 1.180 May 1.000 June 1.000 July 1.000 Aug 1.000 Sep 1.000 Oct 1.000 Nov 1.000 Dec 1.000 Mean Absolute Deviation MAD = 1843.4 Mean Square Error MSE = 4,507,573.7 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 Time Perio Seasonally-Adjusted Value J K L M N 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52
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J K L M N 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75
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Seasonally Adjusted Value Seasonally Adjusted Forecast od O P Q R 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52
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O P Q R 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75
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  • Spring '14
  • EricS.Ackerman
  • Prime number, ted value

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