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Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. 51. Kahneman, D. & Tversky, A. (1973). On the psychology of prediction . Psychological Review, 80 (4), 237-251. 52. Kahneman, D. & Tversky, A. (1982). On the study of statistical intuitions . Cognition, 11, 123-141. 53. Konold, C. (1989). Informal conceptions of probability. Cognition and Instruction, 6, 59-98. 54. Nisbett, R. E. & Ross, L. (1980). Human inference: Strategies and shortcomings of social judgment. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall. 55. Shaughnessy, J. M. (1977). Misconceptions of probability: An experiment with a small-group, activity-based, model building approach to introductory probability at the college level. Educational Studies in Mathematics, 8, 285-316. 56. Tversky, A. & Gilovich, T. (1989). The cold facts about the “hot hand” in basketball. Chance, 2(1), 16-21. 57. Tversky, A. & Kahneman, D. (1973). Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability. Cognitive Psychology, 5, 207-232.
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50 58. Tversky, A. & Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Science , 185, 1124-1131. 59. Tversky, A. & Kahneman, D. (1983). Extensional versus intuitive reasoning: The conjunction fallacy in probability judgement. Psychological Review, 90 (4), 293-313. Criticisms of the Heuristics Literature – Intuitions as Dynamic A growing number of researchers have lately become critical of the heuristics literature because of its emphasis on discovering fallibilities in peoples’ reasoning. The work of these researchers who, although acknowledging that our intuitions often run counter to stochastic reasoning, view those intuitions as dynamic and subject to development, can also be very valuable to the researcher and educator interested in building student conceptions of variation. In addition to [31], [41]: 60. Borovcnik, M. (1991). A complementarity between intuitions and mathematics. In D. Vere-Jones (Ed.), Proceedings of the Third International Conference on Teaching Statistics ( Vol.1, pp. 363-369). Voorburg, The Netherlands: International Statistical Institute. 61. Borovnik, M. & Peard, R. (1996). Probability. In A. J. Bishop (Ed.), International Handbook of Mathematics Education (pp. 239-287).Dordrecht, the Netherlands: Kluwer. 62. Confrey, J. (1991). Learning to listen: A student’s understanding of powers of ten. In E. von Glaserfeld (Ed.), Radical constructivism in mathematics education (pp. 111-136). Dordrecht, the Netherlands: Kluwer. 63. Fischbein, E. (1975). The intuitive sources of probabilistic thinking in children . Dordrecht, the Netherlands: Reidel. 64. Fischbein, E. (1987). Intuition in science and mathematics. Dordrecht, the Netherlands: Reidel. 65. Gigerenzer, G. (1996). On narrow norms and vague heuristics: A rebuttal to Kahneman and Tversky. Psychological Review, 103 (3). 66. Jacobs, J. E. & Potenza, M. (1991). The use of judgement heuristics to make social and object decisions: a developmental perspective. Child Development, 62, 166-178. 67. Jones, G., Thornton, C., Langrall, C. & Mogill, A. T. (1997). Using students’ probabilistic thinking to inform instruction. In J. Garfield & J. Truran (Eds.), Research papers on Stochastics Education (pp. 171-178).
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