07983 MSE 000887 a 063 037 a2 075 025 a3 082 018 a4 091 009 Abs Error Sq error

07983 mse 000887 a 063 037 a2 075 025 a3 082 018 a4

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MSE:0.00887a0.630.37a20.750.25a30.820.18a40.910.09
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Abs ErrorSq errorExponential a3Abs ErrorSq errorExponential a4Abs Error0.050.00257.350.050.00257.350.050.1625 0.0264067.3910.159 0.0252817.39550.15450.052125 0.0027177.519670.04033 0.0016277.534835 0.0251650.058086 0.0033747.5469779 0.053022 0.0028117.55348895 0.0465110.063308 0.0040087.587981823 0.067982 0.0046227.5939909115 0.0739910.013824 0.0001917.5299532745 0.009953 9.91E-0057.5249766373 0.0049770.174885 0.0305857.5236827116 0.176317 0.0310887.5218413558 0.1781590.036893 0.0013617.6689626033 0.048963 0.0023977.6844813016 0.0644810.07405 0.0054837.6229161632 0.072916 0.0053177.6214580816 0.0714580.0766260.075741MSE:0.008514MSE0.008416MSE
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Sq error0.00250.023870.0006330.0021630.0054752.48E-0050.0317410.0041580.0051060.0756710.008408123456787.107.207.307.407.507.607.707.80Commodity Futures Index
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910
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tytForecastErrorSquared error166.8-0.80.642118.92.14.413911-2441413.10.90.8151515.2-0.20.04617.3 MSE: 1.98SUMMARY OUTPUTRegression StatisticsMultiple R0.903696R Square0.816667Adjusted R Square0.755556Standard Error1.81659Observations5ANOVAdfSSMSFignificance FRegression144.144.1 13.36364 0.035353Residual39.93.3Total454Coefficientstandard Errot StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%Intercept4.71.9052562.46686 0.090316 -1.363375 10.76337 -1.363375 10.76337t2.10.574456 3.655631 0.035353 0.271824 3.928176 0.271824 3.928176
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YearPeriod (t)Enrollment (1000s)ForecastErrorSq Error200116.5 6.1733330.30.106711200228.17.630.50.220900200338.4 9.086667-0.70.4715112004410.2 10.54333-0.30.1178782005512.5120.50.2500002006613.3 13.45667-0.20.0245442007713.7 14.91333-1.21.4721782008817.216.370.80.6889002009918.1 17.826670.30.0747111019.283330.380815SUMMARY OUTPUTRegression StatisticsMultiple R0.9868055131R Square0.9737851206Adjusted R Square0.9700401378Standard Error0.6997278382Observations9ANOVAdfSSMSFSignificance FRegression1127.3126666667 127.31267 260.023938.576824E-007Residual73.42733333330.489619Total8130.74CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Intercept4.71666666670.5083404892 9.2785579 3.50E-0053.514632418Period (t)1.45666666670.0903344755 16.125257 8.58E-0071.2430595752
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Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%5.9187009 3.5146324 5.91870091.6702738 1.2430596 1.6702738
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YearCost/Unit ($)ForecastErrorSq Error120.0 21.76667-1.83.121111224.5 23.540481.00.920686328.2 25.314292.98.327347427.527.08810.40.169666526.628.8619-2.35.116213630.0 30.63571-0.60.404133731.0 32.40952-1.41.986757836.0 34.183331.83.300278935.95714MSE:2.918274SUMMARY OUTPUTRegression StatisticsMultiple R0.9218779199R Square0.8498588992Adjusted R 0.8248353823Standard Er1.972569833Observatio8ANOVAdfSSMSFSignificance FRegression1 132.14881 132.14881 33.962408469 0.0011232Residual623.34619 3.8910317Total7155.495Coefficientstandard Errot StatP-valueLower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Intercept19.99285714291.537014 13.007596 1.27168E-005 16.231919 23.753795 16.231919Year1.7738095238 0.3043741 5.8277276 0.0011232117 1.0290328 2.5185862 1.0290328
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Upper 95.0%23.7537952.5185862
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  • Spring '14
  • Danepeterson
  • Mean absolute percentage error, Mean squared error, 3 week, Mean absolute error, Statistical deviation and dispersion, 3.25 5 wk

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