However, it is a relevant scenario that is probable. 2. Surmount Yes Yes Yes This scenario is consistent realible and relevant. Despite environmental performance being unpredictable there could be cases in future were environmental performance is controlled. This scenario is highly preferable.
21 3. Cyclone Yes No Yes This scenario is possible but not a preferred scenario as it is most unfavourable to a company in the agriculture sector. 4. The Stand Yes Yes Yes This scenario has consistency, reliability and relevance making it a plausible scenario. From the above analysis of the four scenarios, the most likely that could materialize is scenario 4. The main reason for this would be that with environmental factors being highly favorable despite there being low political performance the performance of the agriculture sector would be higher than normal. This entails that more farmers will be out looking for innovative farming solutions and AFGRI would be main beneficiary. 4.0 CONCLUSION In conclusion, this paper has undertaken a scenario analysis on AFGRI. The agriculture sector in Zambia has a lot of potential for growth as the country has plenty of natural resources that can enable farmers to farm all year round.
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- Spring '20
- scenario planning, AFGRI