Organizational change and exit
Changing the organizational world
The Postmodern Era
o Our world is going through the Information Revolution
Everything is going faster, more fragmented, and less consistent
than in the past
Advances in technology mean th
Thomas Kida: Chapter 7 book notes
Chapter 7: Predicting the Unpredictable
Our strong desire to predict future events has led us to believe that we can predict
things that are essentially unpredictable
When evaluating predictions, a couple things have to
ISS 305 In class notes 9/18
o How is data collected? Who is covered and left out?
o Does the measure tap the underlying concept?
o What is the shape of distribution and how is useful is the average?
ISS 305 In class notes 9/16
Why do women earn less than men?
Self-report: Measuring by asking subjects of study
Longitudinal Study: Studying change over long time period
Panel: Studying the same population repeatedly over time
ISS 305 in class notes Chapter 3 & 4 9/11
Replication: Repetition of a study or procedure
Extrapolation: Extend trend or finding into the future
Regression: Technique of understanding associations where you specify a model
ISS 305 Evaluating Evidence 9/9
You are learning to evaluate evidence, not just conclusions; not just facts and
opinions evidence of different quality
Normal thinking leads to incorrect beliefs:
ISS 305 Evaluating Evidence 9/4
Cant always believe own eyes
Wanting something to be true does not make it true; we trick ourselves
We are naturally bad at evaluating evidence; we dont have the skills to correct
ISS 305 8/28/13 Notes
Social Science Data & Explanations for Events: Mass Shootings
Increase in mass shootings?
Not steady or constant, but relevant to victims and media coverage, there has
definitely been an increase from 1980 to present.
ISS 305 In Class Notes 9/23
Kida: ambiguous predictions; forget misses; outperformers rationalization and
suggestion; expectations & alternatives
Mobility: explain income with parents; 58%; correlates
Inequality: increase, growth at top; 1% shar
Quiz 1: practice quiz
How strong is the cross-national relationship between the gun and murder rates?
A: Very Strong
B: Somewhat Strong
C: Weak or insignificant
Since the 1990s, the U.S. murder rate has?
C: Stayed about
The New York Times
Critiqued by Nathan Day
This article in the New York Times written by author Matt Richtel and is called
Your Brain on Computers Attached to Technology and Paying a Price, and is on the
subject of people attached to te
Thomas Kida: Chapter 3 notes
Chapter 3: Thinking like a scientist
How to tell the difference between science and pseudoscience
o If the study relies heavily on personal testimonies, be wary
o If an experiment was conducted, we need to evaluate how tightl