A misuse of statistics based on seasonal
variation in death rates
Lomborg: Lets put aside for the moment the fact that rising temperatures are likely to
more harm than good on this score, preventing so many cold-related fatalities that the
net effect of g
Should we accept a scientific consensus on climate change (or anything else)?
Environmental ethics and today versus the future
Discounting: How much do we owe to people in the future?
Is the well-being of someone alive today worth more than that of someon
Predicted range of % of cases that would receive a positive test, based on
clinical thresholds of 10% overall risk or 2X increase in risk:
(from Roberts et al, Science Translational Medicine 4:ra138 (2012
Negative test results would not for the most part
Increasing the Greenhouse Effect
Part II: Risks, choices and scientific uncertainty
1) Uncertainty and how to respond to it.
2) Who to trust as sources of information
3) Motivated reasoning/bias: among re
claims supported by data
The review process: possible reviews and replies.
Generally anonymous (Advantages of this? Disadvantages?)
Review articles: sometimes but not alwa