ADM2302 A
Solution Assignment #5
Assignment #5
Decision Analysis
Assignment #5 Case Study: Cholesterol problems
The following case history involves 3 decision makers: (1) Mr. Cormier; (2) Claude
Cormier (Mr. Cormier son); and (3) Dr. Walla, the family doc

Decision Analysis II
Decision analysis with additional
information
Chapter 10!
Outline
Bayes theorem
Calculating conditional probabilities
Utilities
Decision analysis with additional information
Bayes Theorem ( Bayesian Analysis)
Used to

Project Management
Basic concepts, project networks
Chapter 8
Outline
Scope and importance;
Organizing projects;
Techniques;
Some examples.
Project management:
construction of a highway;
planning and launching a new product;
automobile mode

Project Management
PERT
Chapter 8
Outline
Calculating times;
Critical path;
Crashing.
Project Evaluation and Review
Technique (PERT)
An alternative to CPM!
Uses Probabilistic activities times!
Same approach as with the CPM method, except:
!
!

Final Exam: Revision
LP + sensitivity analysis
Electronics Play Group (EPG) of Ottawa, Ontario is considering how to distribute a new portable
game player they manufacture of which a first production run of 5,000 units is now in progress in
time for the C

Solution Assignment #1
Assignment #1
Linear Programming
Formulation and Graphical Method
Solution
Total Value: 10 points
1) Problem #14, p.86 Automobile dealership
Total Value: 2.5 points
Formulation (standard form): 1 point
14a. x1 = qty. of mid-sized ca

ADM2302 Section A
Solution Assignment #2
Assignment #2
Linear Programming
Formulation and Graphical Method
Solution
1) Problem #20, pp.207-208 Production Planning
1. Production Scheduling LP formulation
Define: Product made during period j = Pj , product

ADM2302 A, B, C, and D
Solution Assignment #3
Assignment #4 Solution
Special Case LPs: Transportation/Assignment/Integer/Binary
(1) Chap 5, p.266- Problem 17 (warehouses)
Solution:
17. When using solver, make sure assume linear model and assume non-negati

ADM2302 A
Solution Assignment #6
Assignment #6
Project Management
Solution
Suggested Solutions
1) Problem #7, p. 344(bot); Total mark
7. a. b. Correct completion of CPM table, as follows:
Activity
Earliest
start time
Latest
start time
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J

TSOM Amusements, Inc. just bought 50 acres of land east of Ottawa and
the company is planning to divide this land into three categories of the activities: (1)
rides, (2) food concessions, and (3) shops. Each acre used for rides generates $150/hour
profit,

Decision Analysis II
Decision analysis with additional
information
Chapter 10!
Outline
Bayes theorem
Calculating conditional probabilities
Utilities
Decision analysis with additional
information
Bayes Theorem ( Bayesian Analysis)
Used to

Decision Analysis I
Choices, models, and decision trees
Chapter 10!
Outline
Types of decision situations;
How to make a choice;
Do I need to know the expected value?
Decision trees;
Using decision trees;
Decision components
A decision proble

Linear Programming
Concepts, setup, and solution
Text: Chapters
2, 3, and 4
Outline
Basic concepts;
Building LP models;
Solver option in Excel;
Examples;
Interpreting the solutions.
Playing with Lego bricks
6 large bricks
8 small bricks
Build tables an

Linear Programming
Problem formulation
Text: Chapters
2, 3, and 4
Worksheet: Advertising
The advertising director for the Century Paints, a chain of retail stores in Ottawa, is considering two media
possibilities. One plan is for a series of half-page a

Transportation and Assignment Models:
General Formulation
Chapter 5)!
ASSIGNMENT PROBLEM
Typical assignment problem involves assigning jobs to machines,
agents to tasks, sales personnel to sales territories, contracts
to bidders, etc. A distinguishing fea

Transportation and Assignment Models:
General Formulation
Chapter 5)!
Transportation
The transportation problem arises frequently in planning for the
distribution of goods and services from several supply
locations to several demand locations. Typically,

Integer Programming
Chapter 6
Integer programs
Integer linear programs are LP models with some or all of the
decision variables restricted to integer values only.
LP in which all the decision variables are restricted to be integers is
called an all-int

Mid-Term Review
1. Topics
Linear Programming Formulation
Linear Programming Solutions (Graphical,
Solver)
Linear Programming Sensitivity Analysis
Transportation and Assignment Problems
Logistics
In-class exam
Do all work on exam paper
80 minutes

Goal Programming
Chapter 9
Goal programming
A variant of LP with additional decision
variables that describe achievement of the
goals;
Involves soft requirements that are
represented as goal constraints (goal to be
achieved if possible);
Can be fo