(1-a)
Superintendent
UC
QP
Leader
Leader
NC
C
(-p,-4)
NC
C
(5,-8)
(5-p,-2)
(0,0)
Case 1
p<5
Case 2
p>5
RE: Sup UC
Leader C if UC, NC if QP
RE: Sup QP
Leader NC if QP, C if UC
(1-b)
This scenario examines what the effect of the value of harm by a publicity
POLI SCI 30
Homework #5
Homework Rules: You must do your homework by yourself. You may talk about the problems with
other students, but you must write up your answers on your own. Please talk to Professor Bawn or your
TA if you have questions about academ
PS 30 Workshop #4 Answers
SCENARIO A Return to another version of the hypothetical 2016 scenario for Republicans. Jeb Bush has been
selected as the Republican presidential nominee and faces the choice of whether to run a moderate or a rightwing
campaign.
Assignment #1
POLI SCI 30
Homework Rules: You must do your homework by yourself. You may talk about the
problems with other students, but you must write up your answers on your own. Please talk to
Professor Bawn or your TA if you have questions about acad
updated 1/2/14
Poli Sci 30
Politics and Strategy
Online Hybrid Version
Winter 2014
Professor Kathleen Bawn
kbawn@polisci.ucla.edu
Bunche 3363
Office hours Th 2-4
Welcome to Poli Sci 30!
Poli Sci 30 is an introductory course in game theory, aimed at Politi
Poli Sci 30
Politics and Strategy
Online Hybrid Version
Spring 2015
Professor Kathleen Bawn
kbawn@polisci.ucla.edu
Bunche 3363
Office hours TTh 11-12
Welcome to Poli Sci 30!
Poli Sci 30 is an introductory course in game theory, aimed at Political Science
Workshop #7
Scenario 1. A wildfire has broken out in a remote Southern California canyon and
the canyons lone resident faces the choice of whether to evacuate in advance or not.
If the canyon dweller evacuates,
Poli Sci 30 Workshop #3
SCENARIO A. A wealthy UCLA alumna must decide whether to donate 10 million dollars to UCLA or
not. If she does, UCLA leadership must then decide whether to devote her gift to hiring an
PS 30 Workshop #2
SCENARIO: A Democratic president and a Republican-controlled House of Representatives
need to pass a budget bill. The House can pass one of three possible budgets: one that
involves revenue in
PS 30 Workshop #6
MSNE in Arms Races Models This week, we return to the scenario in which
Country A and its enemy neighbor, Country B, simultaneously decide whether to
build military strength or not. If one
PS 30
Workshop #5
Modelling Arms Races Country A and its neighbor Country B have a poor
relationship: a history of disputes over territory and access to trade routes. Strong
economic growth has increased go
Workshop #8
This problem is less structured than those we have worked in previous workshops.
You will need to figure out for yourself how to use the game theoretic concepts we
have learned this quarter (especiall
PS 30 Workshop #4
SCENARIO A Return to another version of the hypothetical 2016 scenario for Republicans. Jeb Bush
has been selected as the Republican presidential nominee and faces the choice of whether to run a
moderate or a rightwing campaign. After ob
Week 0 Thursday
10/02/2014
Game Theory Premises
Analyzes situations in which each party chooses a strategy knowing
that success depends on the choices of others
Example when choosing between the Bruin Bear and the Bomb
Shelter
Assumptions
o What moves
(a-1)
Party Leader
B
A
(0)
Nature
1-p
p
Dud
Star
(2)
(-5)
when p = 50%, EV(star) = .5(2) + .5(-5) = -2.5; therefore, the optimal decision is candidate A
when p = 75%, EV(star) = .75(2) + .25(-5) = .25; therefore, the optimal decision is candidate B
7p-5 =
Haley Schlinger
Homework #4
Game A
(Top, Left) (Bottom, Right) are both examples of PSNE
Game B
(Top, Right) is an example of PSNE
Game C
(Top, Left) (Bottom, Right) are both examples of PSNE
Game D
(Top, Right) (Bottom, Left) are both examples of PSNE
Ga
Scenario A
Superintendent
UC
QP
Leader
Leader
NC
C
Leader wins
(-7,-4)
Nobody wins
(0,0)
NC
C
Superintendent wins
(-2,-12)
Superintendent wins
(5,-8)
(a-1)
-The equilibrium path in scenario A is Superintendent chooses an unqualified crony and
the communit
Haley Schlinger
Homework #6
1A-1
1A-2
Moderates
Rita
Cindy
Conservatives
Cindy
3
Rita
0
There are 2 PSNE: (Cindy, Cindy) and (Rita, Rita). These
are PSNE because each player made the best decision
given the other players choice.
1A-3
6
0
0
0
6
p=1/3, q =
Haley Schlinger
Homework #5
Question 1
Game A: p=1/2, q=2/3
Game B: No MSNE. There is no probability that satisfies the basic MSNE requirement; there is
no probability that will make the column player indifferent between choosing Left and Right.
Game C: p
POLI SCI 30
Homework #6
Homework Rules: You must do your homework by yourself. You may talk about the
problems with other students, but you must write up your answers on your own. Please
talk to Professor Bawn or your TA if you have questions about academ
Haley Schlinger
Homework #7
Scenario 1-A:
Ann
On Time
Bob
On Time
1
1
-5
0
Late
-5
5
Late
5
0
1A-1
In this version of the game, no progress on rebuilding
will be made because both players will play their
dominant strategy of arriving late. As there is onl
Homework #3
Poli Sci 30
Homework Rules: You must do your homework by yourself. You may talk about the problems with
other students, but you must write up your answers on your own. Please talk to Professor Bawn or your
TA if you have questions about academ
POLI SCI 30
Homework #4
Homework Rules: You must do your homework by yourself. You may talk about the problems with
other students, but you must write up your answers on your own. Please talk to Professor Bawn or your
TA if you have questions about academ
POLI SCI 30
Homework #7
Homework Rules: You must do your homework by yourself. You may talk about the problems
with other students, but you must write up your answers on your own. Please talk to Professor
Bawn or your TA if you have questions about academ
PS 30 Workshop #1
SCENARIO A. The year is 2016 and Jeb Bush has been nominated as the Republican Partys
presidential candidate. He faces the choice of whether to run a centrist or a rightwing campaign.
After observing how Bush runs, Governor Scott Walker
PS 30
Workshop #5
Modelling Arms Races Country A and its neighbor Country B have a poor relationship: a
history of disputes over territory and access to trade routes. Strong economic growth has
increased governme
PS 30 Workshop #6
MSNE in Arms Races Models This week, we return to the scenario in which
Country A and its enemy neighbor, Country B, simultaneously decide whether to
build military strength or not. If one
Professor Kathleen Bawn
Spring 2015
Political Science 30
Study Sheet for Midterm #1
TUESDAY, APRIL 28
2:00-3:15PM
CS 24 (Johns and Imils Sections)
Fowler A103B (Richards and Fengs Sections)
I. EXAM LOGISTICS A seating chart with assigned seats will be pos
PRACTICE MIDTERM
Poli Sci 30
This is an example of a midterm from a previous year, editted to reflect the topics we have covered this year.
In order to do well on the exam, your answers must be neat and well-organized, and the reasoning behind the
answer