Cumulative and Conditional Probability
Overview: The last problem set in Module Two exposed you to dependent trials that caused the
probability to shift slightly with each choice of sock from the drawer. Kind of sneaky, eh? This problem
set gets you a lit

Cover Page
Predictive Model for Calculating Propensity to Purchase Insurance
Target Product
Model Based on
Model Applicable on
Responder
Telecom Company (5000 Customer)
Telecom Customers
Model Type
Model Output
Logistic Regression
Coefficients
Provides a

HIGHER COLLEGES OF
TECHNOLOGY
DUBAI WOMENS COLLEGE
CISAC DIVISION
COURSE NUMBER:
CIS 2003
COURSE NAME
STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY
:
HAND-OUT DATE:
WEEK 11
PROJECT DUE DATE :
STUDENT NAME (S) & ID :
SECTION :
ASSESSMENT
NUMBER/NAME:
4- PROJECT
LO/GOALS COVE

Propensity Model for Up-Sell in Telecom Industry
Business Problem: Company X in telecom domain has strong market share.
The market share has reached a point where capturing new customers is
quite expensive and has low ROI. Company X planned to focus on it

proc means data=data_file1
n nmiss;
run;
data customer;
set data_file1;
run;
proc contents data=customer varnum;
run;
proc means data=customer
nmiss max min std mean median kurt mode ;
run;
proc sort data=customer;
by plan_chg_flag;
run;
proc freq data=

Modeling Test
Propensity Model for Up-Sell in Telecom Industry
Business Problem: Company X in telecom domain has strong market share. The market share
has reached a point where capturing new customers is quite expensive and has low ROI.
Company X planned

Time Series Analysis and Forecasting Methods
for Temporal Mining of Interlinked Documents
Abstract
The need to study and understand the evolving content, structure and usage of interlinked
documents has gained importance recently, especially with the adve

a. At the 0.05 level of significance, is there evidence of a linear relationship between the summated rating
of a restaurant and the cost of a meal?
The summated rating estimate P-value is around 0.00 which is very significant and the estimate is positive

Test 4 Spring 201110 Chapters 10-12
True / False Questions
1. (p. 309) The purpose of insurance is to help protect you and your family against financial
hardship due to hazard, accident, death, and similar risks. TRUE
2. (p. 310) Personal risks, property

TIME SERIES REGRESSION NOTES
Time series regression analysis is tricky! Be careful and dont generate spurious results.
1. Transform all variables (both dependent variable and explanatory variables to
stationary form). Then your equation will be balanced.

Solution-
Fund accounting is defined as the activity to analyze report, summarize, record, and interpret the
financial transactions of governments, through the use of funds. Fund accounting is able to make
it easier on the organization to identify what mo

EVIEWS DEMONSTRATION
This demonstration illustrates the basic features of EViews. It represents a typical application, and
is not meant to be a comprehensive description of the capabilities of the program.
In this demonstration, we examine the relationshi

Chow Test for Structural Stability
A series of data can often contain a structural break, due to a change in policy or
sudden shock to the economy, i.e. 1987 stock market crash. In order to test for a
structural break, we often use the Chow test, this is

Dummy Variables
The main purpose of dummy variables is that they are tools that allow us to represent
nominal-level independent variables in statistical techniques like regression analysis.
Without the tool of dummy variables, these statistical methods wo