Users Guide and Codebook for the ANES 2016 Time Series Study
American National Elections Studies
University of Michigan and Stanford University
May 2 2
ANES 2016 Time Series Data Users Brief Guide
Ini
Print as landscape.
This handout only applies to variables that are included in an interaction term, and the interaction term referred to here is theirs:
If the coefficient of X1 is negative, then tha
126 - naked statistics
CHAPTER 8
The Central Limit Theorem
The Lebron rms: of statistics
don t. 6 This effect can potentially confound any study trying to evaluate
tw
Political Science Methods of Inquiry
Practice Problems
31 October 2016
Normal Distribution
1. Sunshine City was designed to attract retired people. Its current population of 50,000 residents has a mea
Significance Tests
Correlation Coefficient
31 October 2016
1/6
Weve studied two types of hypothesis tests:
1. Means
2. Proportions
Now we turn to three bivariate hypothesis tests.
1. Correlation coeff
Political Science Methods of Inquiry
Homework IV
Due: 7 November in Class
Kellstedt and Whitten
Chapter 6: Exercises 1 and 2.
Additional Problems
1. Your friend plans to survey students in your colleg
Political Science Methods of Inquiry
Homework V - Due 5 December 2016 in class.
Kellstedt and Whitten
Chapter 7: Exercises 8, 9 and 10.
Exercises 8-10 use the British Election Survey Data.
The varia
Codebook for BES2005Subset
These data come from the 2005 British Election Study. All of these
data can be dowloaded directly from the BES website
(/www.essex.ac.uk/bes). Here is a listing of the varia
Homework6dueMon1113.docx YOUR NAME: JT Molina
Your GTAs name:
Taylor Tidwell
1
Homework 6: Multiple regression: Interpreting coefficients with and without interaction terms
(Please turn in pp.2
Analysis
V161003
PRE: How often does Respondent pay attn to politics and elections?
-Type: numeric (byte)
Label: V161003
Range: [1,5] units: 1
Unique values: 5 missing. 0/4271
Tabulation: Freq. Numeri
THE QOG BASIC DATASET 2017
CODEBOOK
Scholars who wish to use this dataset in their research are kindly requested to cite both the original
source (as stated in this codebook) and use the following cit
See spec(.) for full column specifications.
> View(qog_basiccs_1_)
> getwd()
[1] "/Users/jtmolina"
> setwd("C:/Users/jtmolina/Documents/KU Fall 2017/Pols 306/Lab 1")
Error in setwd("C:/Users/jtmolina/
interactionsWithOneDummyIndependentVariable.docx
1
Plotting Interactions with One Dichotomous (dummy) Independent Variable in Two-dimensional Space
There is one kind of interaction that you will often
multipleRegression.docx
1
Multiple Regression
Recall that with bivariate Ordinary Least Squares regression, you had one independent variable and one dependent
variable, and you could envision the rela
Data Explanation
My data set is obtained from the population of the voters in the United States. The
data relates to the issue of politics and the electioneering process. The data also relates to the
Analysis
V161003
PRE: How often does Respondent pay attn to politics and elections?
-Type: numeric (byte)
Label: V161003
Range: [1,5] units: 1
Unique values: 5 missing. 0/4271
Tabulation: Freq. Numeri
Homework6dueMon1113.docx YOUR NAME:_ Your GTAs name:_ 1
Homework 6: Multiple regression: Interpreting coefficients with and without interaction terms
(Please turn in pp.2-3 only, and write your answer
How the Mood of Voters affects the Presidential Race
JT Molina
Political Theory 306
Taylor Tidwell
December 6th, 2017
Causal Theory and Hypothesis
Dedication to politics is a matter that attracts the
How the Mood of Voters affects the Presidential Race
JT Molina
Political Theory 306
Taylor Tidwell
December 6th, 2017
Causal Theory and Hypothesis
Dedication to politics is a matter that attracts the
InteractionWithContinuousVariables.docx
1
Interaction with continuous variables: A. Meaning and a health example
Ordinarily I use polsci examples, but interaction is best explained with something more
Political Science Methods of Inquiry
Confidence Intervals Examples
1. For an exit poll of people who voted in a gubernatorial election, 40% voted for Jones and
60% for Smith. Assuming this is a random
Formula Sheet Midterm II
Computing Probabilities with Normal Random Variables
Let Y be a normally distributed random variable and Z be the standardized normal random variable. Let a and b denote two n
Introduction to
Bivariate Regression Models
9 and 16 November 2016
1/1
Quick Example: Bivariate Hypothesis Test
Theory of Economic Voting: The state of the economy matters for
the incumbent party elec
Political Science Methods of Inquiry
Homework V - Due 5 December 2016 in class.
Kellstedt and Whitten
Chapter 7: Exercises 8, 9 and 10.
Exercises 8-10 use the British Election Survey Data.
The varia
POLS 306: Political Science Methods of Inquiry
Fall 2016
Homework I
Due: 7 September in class
From Kellstedt and Whitten
Chapter 1 Exercises: 4 and 5
Chapter 3 Exercises: 4
Chapter 4 Exercises
Political Science Methods of Inquiry
Homework III
DUE: 24 October 2016 in class
Kellstedt and Whitten:
Chapter 6: Exercise 3 (discuss the Central Limit Theorem in your answer).
Additional Problems:
1.
Quick Example: Bivariate Hypothesis Test
Theory of Economic Voting: The state of the economy matters for
the incumbent party electoral performance.
Introduction to
Bivariate Regression Models
Data on
Assumptions for the
Bivariate Regression Models
28 November 2016
1/12
Assumptions
There are a number of important assumptions for OLS regression:
1. No specification error
2. No measurement error
3. A
Political Science Methods of Inquiry
Practice Problems
Normal Distribution
1. Sunshine City was designed to attract retired people. Its current population of 50,000 residents has a mean age of 60 year
Formulas for Final Exam
POLS 306 - Fall 2016
Confidence Intervals
1. Proportion: p (se z) where se =
of confidence.
q
p(1
p)
n
and z is the critical value at the chosen level
2. OLS coefficient estima
168 . naked statistics
same height as the general pepulation; only now we have two different ways
that we can end up rejecting the nuil hypothesis.
We will reject our null hypothesis if the mean heigh