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A toy company has done a time series analysis of their sales. They have come up with the following equation:

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A toy company has done a time series analysis of their sales. They have come up with the following equation: Yt = 12 Xt + 106 Where Xt = time period X1 (First quarter of 1st year) =1.5 X2 (Second quarter of 1st year) =3.0 X3 (Third quarter of 1st year) = 4.5 Q. What is the seasonally adjusted forecast for the fourth quarter of the third year? The seasonal adjustment factor for the fourth quarter is 130%.

401- 420

361 - 380

381 - 400

421 & Over

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