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# Assignment 4 Female Population, 2010 Projected Female Rates, San Diego County 2015 Age Group San Diego County Age Group 0 to 4 5 to 9 10 to 14 15 to

Assignment 3 (10 pts)
1. Create a 2015 population projection by age for San Diego County females using the cohort-component method (CCM). (5 pts)
2. Compute the components of the female population change from 2010 to 2015. (1 pt)
3. Create a 2015 population projection by age for San Diego County females using the Hamilton-Perry (HP) method. (2 pts)
4. Explain the demographic reasons behind the change in female population from 2010-2015. (1 pt)
5. Describe the difference in the 2015 total female population between the HP and CCM methods? What factor might account for the difference in the two projection methods? (1pt)
Assignment 4 Input Data Female Population, 2010 Projected Female Rates, San Diego County 2015 Age Group U.S. 2010 2015 Survival 1-yr. Fertility* Cohort Change and Child-Woman Ratios Age Group Infant 0 to 4 0.9863414 CCR 2005-10 2010 CWR* 0 to 4 114,592 10,480,581 0 to 4 5 to 9 0.9912672 0.00103 0.09714 0 to 4 n/a 0-4/15-44 5 to 9 112,324 10,018,917 5 to 9 10 to 14 0.9912734 0.00142 0.14434 5 to 9 1.0077 0.17159 10 to 14 100,728 10,004,637 10 to 14 15 to 19 0.9909116 0.000000 0.00120 0.12028 10 to 14 1.0308 15 to 19 110,732 10,714,652 15 to 19 20 to 24 0.9906034 0.033900 0.00130 0.12887 15 to 19 1.0371 20 to 24 112,593 10,435,176 20 to 24 25 to 29 0.9903416 0.087600 0.00275 0.28167 20 to 24 1.0318 25 to 29 106,802 10,618,299 25 to 29 30 to 34 0.9899929 0.106100 0.00284 0.26770 25 to 29 1.0268 30 to 34 110,686 9,847,889 30 to 34 35 to 39 0.9887711 0.111300 0.00260 0.23295 30 to 34 1.0227 35 to 39 114,547 10,651,191 35 to 39 40 to 44 0.9866132 0.061400 0.00188 0.17815 35 to 39 1.0152 40 to 44 112,475 10,995,312 40 to 44 45 to 49 0.9839885 0.015800 0.00124 0.12544 40 to 44 1.0031 45 to 49 118,695 11,816,764 45 to 49 50 to 54 0.9803144 0.000000 0.00076 0.08388 45 to 49 1.0072 50 to 54 110,263 11,191,315 50 to 54 55 to 59 0.9734698 0.00063 0.07249 50 to 54 0.9865 55 to 59 94,950 9,776,361 55 to 59 60 to 64 0.9629984 0.00074 0.08470 55 to 59 0.9814 60 to 64 78,454 8,037,513 60 to 64 65 to 69 0.9465830 0.00078 0.09335 60 to 64 0.9680 65 to 69 55,037 6,173,580 65 to 69 70 to 74 0.9194549 0.00073 0.08576 65 to 69 0.9535 70 to 74 42,860 4,920,040 70 to 74 75 to 79 0.8819690 0.00074 0.08638 70 to 74 0.9208 75 to 79 36,749 4,269,011 75 to 79 80-84 0.8168472 0.00065 0.07471 75 to 79 0.8837 80 to 84 31,718 3,586,522 80+ 85+ 0.5828749 0.00035 0.03914 80 to 84 0.8132 85+ 37,830 3,941,923 * Rates per person 85+ 0.5906 All Ages 1,602,035 157,479,683 * Rate per person Births, 2010 Proportion Source: SANDAG population estimates Male 24,119 0.5135 Census Bureau population estimates Female 22,852 0.4865 Total 46,971 1.0000 Source: California Dept.of Finance San Diego County Domestic In-Migration* Domestic Out-Migration*

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