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Oil price forecasting Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2007 53.68 57.56 62.05 67.49 67.21 71.05 76.93 70.76 77.17 82.34 92.41 90.93...

please look at excel sheet i will pay $30, but i need to know before paying , will you be able answer that or not
Oil price forecasting α 0.2 Moving average (3 month) Weighted moving averages Exponential Smoothing 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Forecast 2010 Error sqr Forecast 2010 Error sqr Forecast 2010 Error sqr Jan 53.68 92.18 43.44 76.17 96.52 74.63 2.37 74.91 1.58 76.17 0.00 Feb 57.56 94.99 43.32 73.75 103.72 75.76 4.05 75.68 3.73 76.17 5.86 Mar 62.05 103.64 46.54 78.83 114.64 74.79 16.29 74.68 17.26 73.75 25.81 Apr 67.49 109.07 50.18 84.82 76.25 73.44 76.69 66.04 78.83 35.88 May 67.21 122.80 57.30 75.95 79.13 10.13 80.98 25.28 84.82 78.68 Jun 71.05 132.32 68.61 74.76 79.87 26.08 79.39 21.41 75.95 1.42 Jul 76.93 132.72 64.44 75.58 78.51 8.58 76.83 1.57 74.76 0.67 Aug 70.76 113.24 72.51 77.04 75.43 2.59 75.37 2.79 75.58 2.13 Sep 77.17 97.23 67.65 77.84 75.79 4.19 76.17 2.78 77.04 0.64 Oct 82.34 71.58 72.77 82.67 76.82 34.22 77.20 29.96 77.84 23.33 Nov 92.41 52.45 76.66 85.28 79.18 37.17 80.12 26.61 82.67 6.81 Dec 90.93 39.95 74.46 91.45 81.93 90.63 83.17 68.56 85.28 38.07 Europe Brent Spot Price FOB (Dollars per Barrel) 309.76 267.58 219.29 Questions 1. Forecast the oilprice for 2010 2. What are the limitations of forecasting the oilprice (model vs. reality) the answers should be on report sheet
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1- Forecast the oilprice for 2010 2-What are the limitations of forecasting the oilprice (model vs. reality)
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