Q1- Acquirer Incorporated's management believes that the most reliable way to value a potential target firm is by averaging multiple valuation methods, since all methods have their shortcomings. Consequently, Acquirer's Chief Financial Officer estimates that the value of Target Inc. could range, before an acquisition premium is added, from a high of $700 million using discounted cash flow analysis to a low of $550 million using the comparable companies' relative valuation method. A valuation based on a recent comparable transaction is $680 million. The CFO anticipates that Target Inc.'s management and shareholders would be willing to sell for a 25 percent acquisition premium, based on the premium paid for the recent comparable transaction. The CEO asks the CFO to provide a single estimate of the value of Target Inc. based on the three estimates. In calculating a weighted average of the three estimates, she gives a value of .4 to the recent transactions method, 3 to the DCF estimate, and .3 to the comparable companies' estimate. What it weighted average estimate she gives to the CEO? Show your work.
Q2- Acquirer Company's management believes that there is a 70 percent chance that Target Company's free cash flow to the firm will grow at 25 percent per year during the next five years from this year's level of $4 million. Sustainable growth beyond the fifth year is estimated at 5 percent per year. However, they also believe that there is a 30 percent chance that cash flow will grow at half that annual rate during the next five years and then at a 3.5 percent rate thereafter. The discount rate is estimated to be 14 percent during the high growth period and 11 percent during the sustainable growth period for each scenario. What is the expected value of Target Company?
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