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(1) Use the probability wheel and direct estimate methods to elicit a colleague's subjective probabilities for the outcomes of a forthcoming sports...

(1) Use the probability wheel and direct estimate methods to elicit a colleague's

subjective probabilities for the outcomes of a forthcoming

sports event (e.g. a snooker tournament). Check for consistency

between the assessment methods and use the addition rule to

evaluate the coherence of the probabilities that your colleague

has assessed.

(2) Use the probability method to elicit a colleague's subjective probability

distribution for his or her marks in their next decision

analysis assignment.

(3) Repeat the above exercise for predictions of the starting salary

distribution in his or her first employment after completing their

current educational course of study.

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