Homework problem (Quantatative methods): A concessions manager at the Tech versus A&M football game must decide whether to have the vendors sell sun visors or umbrellas. There is a 30% chance of rain, a 15% chance of overcast skies and a 55% chance of sunshine according to the weather forecast in College Junction where the game is to be held. The manager estimates that the following profits will result from each decision given each set of weather conditions,

Weather conditions

Decision Rain (.30) Overcast (.15) Sunshine(.55)

Sun visors $-500 $-200 $1,500

Umbrellas 2,000 0 -900

a. Compute the expected value for each decision and select the best one.

b. Develop the opportunity loss table and compute the expected opportunity loss for each decision.

Weather conditions

Decision Rain (.30) Overcast (.15) Sunshine(.55)

Sun visors $-500 $-200 $1,500

Umbrellas 2,000 0 -900

a. Compute the expected value for each decision and select the best one.

b. Develop the opportunity loss table and compute the expected opportunity loss for each decision.

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