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# Assume that the Union Pearson Express has been operating for 2 months now. A What a Bagel! store located in the UP

Express waiting area has been very popular, selling many bagels to the passengers waiting for the next train.

In Table 1 below you will find historical data of the daily sales of the store for the last 3 weeks.

Use the simple exponential smoothing method to forecast the sales of the store for day 22.

·      What value did you use for the parameter alpha and why?

·      With the current information. What is your forecast for the day 23?

Day
Sales (units)
Day
Sales (units)
148-
12~
258-
274-
3310
294-
296-
186(
292-
2674
1150
276-
2014
18
262-
297+
322-
20
1260
10
222~
372-
110
2560
Table 1. Historical sales data for What a Bagel!

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