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What is the probability of a loss?

What is the probability of a loss?

Unit 3 Discussion

I chose to analyze the stocks for Walmart from March 21- May 1.

The daily change of this stock is:

Date

Open

High

Low

Close

Adj Close

Volume

Daily Change

3/21/2018

87.89

89.68

87.68

88.18

88.18

11836000

0.29

3/22/2018

87.53

88.27

86.99

87.14

87.14

12248200

-0.39

3/23/2018

87.35

87.69

85.28

85.42

85.42

10125100

-1.93

3/26/2018

86.22

87.69

86.11

87.5

87.5

9199800

1.28

3/27/2018

87.96

88.04

85.48

86.05

86.05

6545800

-1.91

3/28/2018

86.26

88.24

86.19

87.77

87.77

11576300

1.51

3/29/2018

87.9

89.34

87.77

88.97

88.97

9274600

1.07

4/2/2018

88

88.24

84.84

85.55

85.55

19128900

-2.45

4/3/2018

86.25

86.95

85.55

86.8

86.8

9695500

0.55

4/4/2018

85.6

87.5

85.44

87.22

87.22

6536600

1.62

4/5/2018

87.6

88.35

87.05

87.81

87.81

6380900

0.21

4/6/2018

86.83

87.9

86.13

86.69

86.69

6350000

-0.14

4/9/2018

86.85

87.45

86.24

86.28

86.28

8368100

-0.57

4/10/2018

86.84

87.1

85.66

86.45

86.45

9127400

-0.39

4/11/2018

86

86.86

85.8

85.91

85.91

6279000

-0.09

4/12/2018

86.19

86.83

85.41

85.43

85.43

6856300

-0.76

4/13/2018

85.89

86.27

85.19

86.02

86.02

7559200

0.13

4/16/2018

86.2

87.65

86.12

86.84

86.84

7020700

0.64

4/17/2018

87.48

88.17

87.41

87.9

87.9

6801900

0.42

4/18/2018

88.2

88.56

87.51

87.57

87.57

5854000

-0.63

4/19/2018

87.41

88.04

86.58

87.89

87.89

6588300

0.48

4/20/2018

87.87

88.38

86.67

86.98

86.98

8324900

-0.89

4/23/2018

86.89

87.08

86.02

86.1

86.1

7360500

-0.79

4/24/2018

86.77

86.91

85.57

86.53

86.53

8469700

-0.24

4/25/2018

86.32

87.7

85.89

87.17

87.17

6760400

0.85

4/26/2018

87.17

88.32

86.9

87.94

87.94

5782500

0.77

4/27/2018

87.87

87.9

87.08

87.29

87.29

5651100

-0.58

4/30/2018

87.94

89.66

87.92

88.46

88.46

8685900

-0.52

5/1/2018

87.67

88.01

86.35

87.41

87.41

6928500

-0.26

The descriptive statistics summary table is:

The daily change of this stock is slightly right skewed with the median of -0.14 being slightly less than the mean of -0.09. Looking at the shape of the distribution as a box plot, you see that the right whisker is showing that this dataset is skewed to the right.

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