Would like some advice and suggested forecast methods that could be utilized for a stats project. Our group is researching crime statistics for 20 major metro cities using 4-5 sets of criteria (unemployment rate, median income, education level, etc.). Our initial thought was to capture the data for the twenty cities (for a given year - say 2012) and forecast them using a specific method and then compare the results against the actuals for a given year (2013) . We would like to ensure the research provides interesting results. Would just like some general direction and some interesting perspectives.
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